預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ugo Humbert v Andrej Martin

開賽時間: 2026-07-28 15:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

43 家博彩公司 (17 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ugo Humbert (主隊)

預測 76.89%1.30公平賠率
EV -1.58%
優勢 -1.24%
Kelly -5.66%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.28

博彩公司預測分布
73.77%76.88%76.92%78.01%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.201.231.231.2883.33%81.04%81.30%78.13%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Andrej Martin (客隊)

預測 23.11%4.33公平賠率
EV +1.70%
優勢 +0.385%
Kelly +0.499%
成長率 +0.008%

假設最高賠率為 4.40

博彩公司預測分布
21.99%23.12%23.08%26.23%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.604.044.004.4027.78%24.78%25.00%22.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Ugo Humbert (主隊):76.89%;Andrej Martin (客隊):23.11%。 對於「Andrej Martin (客隊)」,該估計相當於4.33的公平十進位賠率。 當時有3家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.40,對應+1.70%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (43 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.70%E +0.385%K +0.499%G +0.008%3.4%2026-07-28 08:29
Pinnacle🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 77.76%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.24%EV +1.00%E +0.229%K +0.298%G +0.003%2.9%2026-07-28 06:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV +0.541%E +0.124%K +0.161%G +0.001%4.3%2026-07-28 08:30
FanDuel🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -0.615%E -0.143%K -0.186%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 08:25
Bovada🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.77%E -0.417%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 06:39
BetUS🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -1.77%E -0.417%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 06:44
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -1.77%E -0.417%K -0.545%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 08:24
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 08:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -2.93%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 07:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.98%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.02%EV -3.39%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 08:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.98%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 23.02%EV -3.39%E -0.811%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 08:29
DraftKings🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.22%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 22.78%EV -3.62%E -0.868%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 16:01
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.08%E -0.984%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 08:29
Bet Right🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 07:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 08:28
theScore Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 06:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -5.24%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-28 08:29
BetAnything🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 06:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV -6.39%E -1.58%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:09
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 05:39
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:25
William Hill🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.89%E -3.11%K -15.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 22:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 08:30
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 08:29
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 08:29
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 08:30
betfred_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 06:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 08:24
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 01:45
Fliff🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 08:24
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 08:23
Sky Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.74%E -6.45%K -38.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.55%E -1.89%K -2.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 08:25
ReBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.43%E -4.41%K -23.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 08:29
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -9.86%E -2.53%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 15:40
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -4.66%E -3.76%K -19.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -12.17%E -3.20%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 22:30
Bet Victor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.33%E -3.55%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 06:40
betano_uk🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.20%E -5.08%K -28.17%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.33%E -3.55%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 06:39
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -1.58%E -1.24%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -16.79%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 05:44
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.12%E -2.48%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.79%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -3.12%E -2.48%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -16.79%E -4.67%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 15:55
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-07-28 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-07-28 08:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-07-28 08:25
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-07-28 08:09
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 78.68%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.32%0.9%2026-07-28 07:29
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-07-28 07:45
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 78.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.10%3.0%2026-07-28 08:39