Language:English
Trevor Svajda v Jakub Mensik
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Trevor Svajda (Local)
Prediction 23.00%4.35fair odd
EV +3.51%
Edge +0.781%
Kelly +1.00%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.33%23.10%23.08%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.094.094.5027.40%24.44%24.45%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jakub Mensik (Visit)
Prediction 77.00%1.30fair odd
EV -3.75%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -15.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.00%76.90%76.92%78.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2584.75%81.85%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trevor Svajda (Local): 23.00%; Jakub Mensik (Visit): 77.00%. For Trevor Svajda (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV +1.67%E +0.379%K +0.490%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.21%E +0.276%K +0.357%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.396%E -0.091%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.09%E -0.253%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 21:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.09%E -0.253%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%EV -4.08%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.37%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.54%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 21:03 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -4.54%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 20:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV -5.92%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 15:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 06:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.37%E -7.04%K -44.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 21:03 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 19:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 17:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -16.04%E -4.39%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -8.37%E -7.04%K -44.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Novig◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 21:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
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