Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Trevor Svajda v Jakub Mensik

Início: 2026-07-28 21:05 UTC

Final: Trevor Svajda 1–2 Jakub Mensik

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Trevor Svajda (Local)

Previsão 23.00%4.35odd justa
EV +3.51%
Vantagem +0.781%
Kelly +1.00%
Crescimento +0.035%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.33%23.10%23.08%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.654.094.094.5027.40%24.44%24.45%22.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jakub Mensik (Visitante)

Previsão 77.00%1.30odd justa
EV -3.75%
Vantagem -3.00%
Kelly -15.02%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.00%76.90%76.92%78.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.181.221.221.2584.75%81.85%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Trevor Svajda (Local): 23.00%; Jakub Mensik (Visitante): 77.00%. Para Trevor Svajda (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.35. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.51%.

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 20:59
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 21:05
DraftKings🎯4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV +1.67%E +0.379%K +0.490%G +0.008%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:04
Winamax (DE)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.21%E +0.276%K +0.357%G +0.004%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-28 20:55
Unibet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 21:04
Unibet (NL)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 21:05
betPARX🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 21:04
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.396%E -0.091%K -0.119%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 20:59
Bet Right🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.09%E -0.253%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 21:00
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.09%E -0.253%K -0.329%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-28 20:04
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 20:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 21:04
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 17:04
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 21:05
LiveScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 21:04
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 21:04
ReBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 16:59
PlayUp🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 21:04
Fanatics🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 20:54
Winamax (FR)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 20:59
Pinnacle🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%EV -4.08%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.37%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.54%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 21:03
Fliff🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -4.54%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 21:05
BetAnything🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 20:24
theScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-28 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-28 21:05
1xBet🎯4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV -5.92%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 15:14
Betsson🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 20:54
NordicBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 20:54
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 06:44
Dabble (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 21:04
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 21:05
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 21:04
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 19:55
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 19:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 21:04
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 16:59
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 17:04
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 16:59
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-28 20:49
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 21:03
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 21:04
Casumo🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 21:04
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 21:04
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 21:04
Betclic (FR)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.37%E -7.04%K -44.07%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-28 21:03
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-28 21:04
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 19:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 19:55
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-28 01:45
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 21:04
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 17:04
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-28 17:03
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -16.04%E -4.39%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -8.37%E -7.04%K -44.07%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-28 21:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-07-28 21:05
Matchbook5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-07-28 21:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-07-28 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-07-28 20:55
Novig5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-07-28 21:00
ProphetX5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%1.6%2026-07-28 21:05
Smarkets5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12%1.9%2026-07-28 21:05