Język:Polski
Trevor Svajda v Jakub Mensik
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Trevor Svajda (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 23.00%4.35kurs godziwy
EV +3.51%
Przewaga +0.781%
Kelly +1.00%
Wzrost +0.035%
przy maksymalnym kursie 4.50
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
21.33%23.10%23.08%25.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.654.094.094.5027.40%24.44%24.45%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Jakub Mensik (Goście)
Prognoza 77.00%1.30kurs godziwy
EV -3.75%
Przewaga -3.00%
Kelly -15.02%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.25
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.00%76.90%76.92%78.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.181.221.221.2584.75%81.85%81.97%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Trevor Svajda (Gospodarze): 23.00%; Jakub Mensik (Goście): 77.00%. Dla wyniku Trevor Svajda (Gospodarze) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 4.35. 8 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 4.50, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +3.51%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (59 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze ▼ | Goście | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV +1.67%E +0.379%K +0.490%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.21%E +0.276%K +0.357%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.396%E -0.091%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.09%E -0.253%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 21:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.09%E -0.253%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%EV -4.08%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.37%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.54%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 21:03 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -4.54%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 20:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV -5.92%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 15:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 06:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.37%E -7.04%K -44.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 21:03 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 19:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 17:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -16.04%E -4.39%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -8.37%E -7.04%K -44.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Novig◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 21:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |