Idioma:Español
Trevor Svajda v Jakub Mensik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Trevor Svajda (Local)
Predicción 23.00%4.35momio equitativo
EV +3.51%
Ventaja +0.781%
Kelly +1.00%
Crecimiento +0.035%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.33%23.10%23.08%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.094.094.5027.40%24.44%24.45%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Predicción 77.00%1.30momio equitativo
EV -3.75%
Ventaja -3.00%
Kelly -15.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.00%76.90%76.92%78.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.221.221.2584.75%81.85%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Trevor Svajda (Local): 23.00%; Jakub Mensik (Visitante): 77.00%. Para Trevor Svajda (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.35. 8 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +3.51%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV +3.51%E +0.781%K +1.00%G +0.035% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.49%EV +1.67%E +0.379%K +0.490%G +0.008% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.51%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%EV +1.21%E +0.276%K +0.357%G +0.004% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.01%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV +0.064%E +0.015%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -0.396%E -0.091%K -0.119%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.09%E -0.253%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 21:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.09%E -0.253%K -0.329%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 20:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -2.24%E -0.526%K -0.688%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 19:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -3.39%E -0.806%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.63%EV -4.08%E -0.978%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.37%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 20:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -4.54%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 21:03 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.14%EV -4.54%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.86%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 20:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -5.29%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -5.69%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.41%EV -5.92%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.59%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 15:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -6.84%E -1.69%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 20:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 06:44 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 19:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 19:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.99%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -9.14%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.55%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.54%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 20:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:03 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.38%EV -10.29%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 76.62%EV -8.37%E -7.04%K -44.07%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-28 21:03 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -11.44%E -2.97%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -4.52%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 19:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 19:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -12.59%E -3.31%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-28 01:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -3.75%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -13.74%E -3.66%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.06%E -4.97%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-28 17:03 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.59%EV -16.04%E -4.39%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 75.41%EV -8.37%E -7.04%K -44.07%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-28 21:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 20:55 |
| Novig◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 21:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.88% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.12% | 1.9% | 2026-07-28 21:05 |