Language:English
Terence Atmane v Alejandro Tabilo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Terence Atmane (Local)
Prediction 54.50%1.83fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.63%54.70%54.42%57.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.591.741.741.8062.89%57.48%57.47%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visit)
Prediction 45.50%2.20fair odd
EV +1.46%
Edge +0.656%
Kelly +1.19%
Growth +0.017%
assuming max odds 2.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.51%45.30%45.58%47.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.962.072.062.2351.02%48.36%48.54%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Terence Atmane (Local): 54.50%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visit): 45.50%. For Alejandro Tabilo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.46%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.46%E +0.656%K +1.19%G +0.017% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.46%E +0.656%K +1.19%G +0.017% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 21:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -13.34%E -8.39%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-30 21:42 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.63%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.54%E -1.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 21:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 21:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.89%E -4.67%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 21:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 20:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.08%E -2.32%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.91%E -2.35%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 20:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 20:43 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.44%E -5.02%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 19:11 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 20:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -4.08%E -2.32%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17% | 0.6% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
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