Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Terence Atmane v Alejandro Tabilo

Início: 2026-07-30 21:44 UTC

Final: Terence Atmane 0–2 Alejandro Tabilo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Terence Atmane (Local)

Previsão 54.50%1.83odd justa
EV -1.90%
Vantagem -1.05%
Kelly -2.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.70%54.42%57.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.591.741.741.8062.89%57.48%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)

Previsão 45.50%2.20odd justa
EV +1.46%
Vantagem +0.656%
Kelly +1.19%
Crescimento +0.017%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.51%45.30%45.58%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.962.072.062.2351.02%48.36%48.54%44.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Terence Atmane (Local): 54.50%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 45.50%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.20. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.23, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.46%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.46%E +0.656%K +1.19%G +0.017%3.7%2026-07-30 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.46%E +0.656%K +1.19%G +0.017%3.7%2026-07-30 21:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 21:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 21:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -13.34%E -8.39%K -22.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-30 21:42
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.63%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 21:39
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.54%E -1.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 21:35
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 20:25
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 21:34
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 21:20
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 21:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 20:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 21:05
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 21:10
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.89%E -4.67%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 21:04
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 21:39
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 21:39
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 21:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.08%E -2.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.91%E -2.35%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 20:29
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:25
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 20:43
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.44%E -5.02%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:40
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:40
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 20:25
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 19:11
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:30
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 21:30
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 21:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 20:24
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:34
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 20:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -4.08%E -2.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 20:35
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-30 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-30 21:40
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-07-30 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-07-30 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-30 21:40
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-07-30 21:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-30 21:40