Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Terence Atmane v Alejandro Tabilo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-30 21:44 UTC

Score final : Terence Atmane 0–2 Alejandro Tabilo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Terence Atmane (Local)

Prévision 54.50%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -2.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.63%54.70%54.42%57.49%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.591.741.741.8062.89%57.48%57.47%55.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.50%2.20cote équitable
EV +1.46%
Avantage +0.656%
Kelly +1.19%
Croissance +0.017%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.51%45.30%45.58%47.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.962.072.062.2351.02%48.36%48.54%44.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Terence Atmane (Local) : 54.50% ; Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur) : 45.50%. Pour Alejandro Tabilo (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.20. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.23, soit une espérance positive de +1.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.46%E +0.656%K +1.19%G +0.017%3.7%2026-07-30 21:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.46%E +0.656%K +1.19%G +0.017%3.7%2026-07-30 21:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-30 21:39
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 21:34
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -13.34%E -8.39%K -22.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-30 21:42
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.63%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 21:39
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.54%E -1.67%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 21:35
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-30 20:25
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-30 21:34
DraftKings🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 21:20
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-30 21:40
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 20:25
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 21:05
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 21:10
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.89%E -4.67%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 21:04
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 21:39
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 21:39
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 20:24
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 20:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 21:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-30 21:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.08%E -2.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.91%E -2.35%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-30 21:40
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-30 20:29
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-30 20:25
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-30 20:43
NetBet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.44%E -5.02%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 21:30
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 21:40
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:40
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 21:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:40
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 20:25
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 19:11
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:30
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-30 21:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 21:30
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 21:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 21:05
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 20:24
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 20:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Bally Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:34
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-30 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 20:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-30 20:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -4.08%E -2.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 20:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-30 21:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-07-30 21:40
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17%0.6%2026-07-30 21:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92%0.7%2026-07-30 21:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-30 21:40
Novig1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%2.0%2026-07-30 21:40
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%2.2%2026-07-30 21:40