Idioma:Español
Terence Atmane v Alejandro Tabilo
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Terence Atmane (Local)
Predicción 54.50%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -2.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.63%54.70%54.42%57.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.591.741.741.8062.89%57.48%57.47%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante)
Predicción 45.50%2.20momio equitativo
EV +1.46%
Ventaja +0.656%
Kelly +1.19%
Crecimiento +0.017%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.51%45.30%45.58%47.37%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.072.062.2351.02%48.36%48.54%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Terence Atmane (Local): 54.50%; Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante): 45.50%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.20. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.23, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.46%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.46%E +0.656%K +1.19%G +0.017% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV +1.46%E +0.656%K +1.19%G +0.017% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-30 21:34 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 21:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -13.34%E -8.39%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-30 21:42 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -2.63%E -1.23%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -3.54%E -1.67%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-30 21:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.00%E -1.89%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 21:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 21:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.71%E -3.30%K -7.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 21:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 21:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -7.89%E -4.67%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 21:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 20:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.98%E -5.38%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.45%E -2.12%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-30 21:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.08%E -2.32%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.91%E -2.35%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-30 20:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.36%E -2.58%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -2.44%E -1.36%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-30 20:43 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -8.44%E -5.02%K -12.41%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -5.82%E -2.81%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.53%E -2.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.64%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 19:11 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.17%E -2.97%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.26%E -3.64%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-30 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 20:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.35%E -4.32%K -10.50%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.73%E -3.28%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-30 20:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.90%E -1.05%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.99%E -1.68%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.00%E -4.50%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.69%EV -4.08%E -2.32%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.31%EV -10.82%E -5.52%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-30 20:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42% | 0.5% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.83% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 44.17% | 0.6% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.08% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.92% | 0.7% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58% | 2.0% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08% | 2.2% | 2026-07-30 21:40 |