StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marcos Giron v Cruz Hewitt

Matchstart: 2026-07-28 18:34 UTC

Slutresultat: Marcos Giron 0–2 Cruz Hewitt

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

55 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Marcos Giron (Hemma)

Prognos 82.65%1.21rättvist odds
EV -2.47%
Fördel -2.09%
Kelly -13.73%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.18

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
79.58%82.70%82.89%88.20%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.071.141.141.1893.46%87.73%87.72%84.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Cruz Hewitt (Borta)

Prognos 17.35%5.76rättvist odds
EV +38.79%
Fördel +4.85%
Kelly +5.54%
Tillväxt +2.15%

med antagandet om högsta odds 8.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
11.80%17.30%17.11%20.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.605.615.608.0021.74%17.82%17.86%12.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Marcos Giron (Hemma): 82.65%; Cruz Hewitt (Borta): 17.35%. För Cruz Hewitt (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 5.76. 11 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 8.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +38.79%.

Spelbolagsodds (55 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -11.56%E -10.81%K -165.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +38.79%E +4.85%K +5.54%G +2.15%6.0%2026-07-28 05:25
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -9.08%E -8.26%K -90.84%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +30.11%E +4.02%K +4.63%G +1.40%4.2%2026-07-28 16:59
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -10.74%E -9.94%K -134.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +21.44%E +3.06%K +3.57%G +0.766%6.9%2026-07-28 18:13
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033%5.2%2026-07-28 17:55
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033%6.0%2026-07-28 18:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033%6.0%2026-07-28 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.26%E -7.44%K -75.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033%6.8%2026-07-28 17:49
Sky Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.26%E -7.44%K -75.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033%6.8%2026-07-28 17:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +2.36%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.011%3.9%2026-07-28 17:34
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.622%E +0.107%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.0%2026-07-28 18:09
ReBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.622%E +0.107%K +0.130%G +0.001%5.0%2026-07-28 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:09
TABtouch🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:09
BetRivers🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:09
Grosvenor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:10
Casumo🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:10
Bally Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:09
betPARX🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:09
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.28%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -0.592%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-28 18:14
SportsBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.11%E -0.195%K -0.237%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-28 17:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.99%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.01%EV -1.81%E -0.319%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 18:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.99%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.01%EV -1.81%E -0.319%K -0.388%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 18:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 17:35
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 18:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-28 18:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 18:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-28 18:09
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:09
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 18:10
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 17:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 17:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 18:09
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-28 17:49
DraftKings🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -5.28%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 18:15
Bovada🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 18:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 18:09
BetAnything🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -11.52%E -2.26%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 18:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.52%E -2.26%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-28 18:15
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.13%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.87%EV -12.74%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 18:15
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 17:44
William Hill🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 17:44
BetMGM🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 17:49
Coral🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-28 17:50
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 18:09
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-28 18:12
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.99%E -3.06%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-28 18:15
Neds🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.20%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.20%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-28 17:49
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-07-28 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-07-28 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-07-28 18:05
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-07-28 18:10
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.0%2026-07-28 18:15
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02%1.3%2026-07-28 18:15
Smarkets1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-07-28 18:14