Sprache:Deutsch
Marcos Giron v Cruz Hewitt
Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →
Direkter Vergleich
Marcos Giron (Heim)
Prognose 82.65%1.21faire Quote
EV -2.47%
Vorteil -2.09%
Kelly -13.73%
Wachstum +0.000%
bei einer Höchstquote von 1.18
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
79.58%82.70%82.89%88.20%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.071.141.141.1893.46%87.73%87.72%84.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Cruz Hewitt (Auswärts)
Prognose 17.35%5.76faire Quote
EV +38.79%
Vorteil +4.85%
Kelly +5.54%
Wachstum +2.15%
bei einer Höchstquote von 8.00
Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
11.80%17.30%17.11%20.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
4.605.615.608.0021.74%17.82%17.86%12.50%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Marcos Giron (Heim): 82.65%; Cruz Hewitt (Auswärts): 17.35%. Für Cruz Hewitt (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 5.76. 11 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 8.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +38.79%.
Wettanbieterquoten (55 Wettanbieter)
Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts ▼ | Marge | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -11.56%E -10.81%K -165.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +38.79%E +4.85%K +5.54%G +2.15% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 05:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -9.08%E -8.26%K -90.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +30.11%E +4.02%K +4.63%G +1.40% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -10.74%E -9.94%K -134.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +21.44%E +3.06%K +3.57%G +0.766% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.26%E -7.44%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.26%E -7.44%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +2.36%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.011% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.622%E +0.107%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.622%E +0.107%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.28%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -0.592%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.11%E -0.195%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.99%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.01%EV -1.81%E -0.319%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.99%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.01%EV -1.81%E -0.319%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -5.28%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -11.52%E -2.26%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.52%E -2.26%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.13%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.87%EV -12.74%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 18:12 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.99%E -3.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.20%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.20%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals
Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.
Wettbörsen (7)
| Wettanbieter | Heim | Auswärts | Marge ▲ | Aktualisiert |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |