Idioma:Português
Marcos Giron v Cruz Hewitt
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Marcos Giron (Local)
Previsão 82.65%1.21odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -2.09%
Kelly -13.73%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.18
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
79.58%82.70%82.89%88.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.071.141.141.1893.46%87.73%87.72%84.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cruz Hewitt (Visitante)
Previsão 17.35%5.76odd justa
EV +38.79%
Vantagem +4.85%
Kelly +5.54%
Crescimento +2.15%
pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.80%17.30%17.11%20.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.605.615.608.0021.74%17.82%17.86%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Marcos Giron (Local): 82.65%; Cruz Hewitt (Visitante): 17.35%. Para Cruz Hewitt (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.76. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +38.79%.
Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -11.56%E -10.81%K -165.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +38.79%E +4.85%K +5.54%G +2.15% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 05:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -9.08%E -8.26%K -90.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +30.11%E +4.02%K +4.63%G +1.40% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -10.74%E -9.94%K -134.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +21.44%E +3.06%K +3.57%G +0.766% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.26%E -7.44%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.26%E -7.44%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +2.36%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.011% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.622%E +0.107%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.622%E +0.107%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.28%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -0.592%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.11%E -0.195%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.99%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.01%EV -1.81%E -0.319%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.99%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.01%EV -1.81%E -0.319%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -5.28%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -11.52%E -2.26%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.52%E -2.26%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.13%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.87%EV -12.74%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 18:12 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.99%E -3.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.20%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.20%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |