Język:Polski
Marcos Giron v Cruz Hewitt
Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →
Zwycięzca spotkania
Marcos Giron (Gospodarze)
Prognoza 82.65%1.21kurs godziwy
EV -2.47%
Przewaga -2.09%
Kelly -13.73%
Wzrost +0.000%
przy maksymalnym kursie 1.18
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
79.58%82.70%82.89%88.20%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.071.141.141.1893.46%87.73%87.72%84.75%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Cruz Hewitt (Goście)
Prognoza 17.35%5.76kurs godziwy
EV +38.79%
Przewaga +4.85%
Kelly +5.54%
Wzrost +2.15%
przy maksymalnym kursie 8.00
Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
11.80%17.30%17.11%20.42%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.605.615.608.0021.74%17.82%17.86%12.50%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Marcos Giron (Gospodarze): 82.65%; Cruz Hewitt (Goście): 17.35%. Dla wyniku Cruz Hewitt (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 5.76. 11 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 8.00, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +38.79%.
Kursy bukmacherskie (55 bukmacherów)
Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście ▼ | Marża | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -11.56%E -10.81%K -165.19%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +38.79%E +4.85%K +5.54%G +2.15% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 05:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -9.08%E -8.26%K -90.84%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +30.11%E +4.02%K +4.63%G +1.40% | 4.2% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -10.74%E -9.94%K -134.21%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +21.44%E +3.06%K +3.57%G +0.766% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 18:13 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 5.2% | 2026-07-28 17:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.26%E -7.44%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.26%E -7.44%K -75.06%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +4.09%E +0.682%K +0.818%G +0.033% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31%EV +2.36%E +0.400%K +0.481%G +0.011% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 17:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.622%E +0.107%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +0.622%E +0.107%K +0.130%G +0.001% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 18:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -0.245%E -0.043%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.28%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.72%EV -0.592%E -0.103%K -0.125%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -1.11%E -0.195%K -0.237%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.99%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.01%EV -1.81%E -0.319%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.99%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.66I 17.67%NM 17.01%EV -1.81%E -0.319%K -0.388%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 17:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -2.85%E -0.508%K -0.619%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-28 17:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.43%E -6.63%K -61.92%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -4.58%E -0.833%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.48%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.46I 18.32%NM 17.52%EV -5.28%E -0.966%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -8.92%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -11.52%E -2.26%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -5.78%E -5.07%K -41.27%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -11.52%E -2.26%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.13%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.87%EV -12.74%E -2.53%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.30%E -2.82%K -19.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-28 17:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.12%E -3.56%K -25.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 18:09 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.60%E -5.84%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.26%E -2.65%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-28 18:12 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.99%EV -4.95%E -4.31%K -33.01%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.01%EV -14.99%E -3.06%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.20%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -2.47%E -2.09%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -20.20%E -4.39%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 17:49 |
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału
Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.
Giełdy zakładów (7)
| Bukmacher | Gospodarze | Goście | Marża ▲ | Aktualizacja |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-07-28 18:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.0% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.98% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.02% | 1.3% | 2026-07-28 18:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.6% | 2026-07-28 18:14 |