The School of Odds

Kei Nishikori v Juncheng Shang

2026-07-27 21:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kei Nishikori (Local)

Prediction 33.98%2.94fair odd
EV -0.774%
Edge -0.265%
Kelly -0.403%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.87%33.90%34.01%36.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.752.9238.46%36.23%36.36%34.25%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Juncheng Shang (Visit)

Prediction 66.02%1.51fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.73%66.10%65.99%67.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.4871.43%69.42%69.44%67.57%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.774%E -0.265%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 06:10
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.774%E -0.265%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -2.13%E -0.741%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%EV -3.61%E -2.47%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 01:40
DraftKings2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -2.47%E -0.862%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:50
FanDuel2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -4.17%E -1.48%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 01:50
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 02:50
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:45
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.85%E -1.73%K -2.70%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 03:21
SportsBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -5.19%E -1.86%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.59%EV -7.57%E -5.41%K -18.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 02:35
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.95%E -2.01%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 06:30
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.95%E -2.01%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 06:25
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -2.95%E -2.01%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 06:30
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.27%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.27%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:05
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 01:55
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:29
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 02:50
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:06
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.93%E -3.43%K -11.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 03:25
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.59%E -3.91%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 07:15
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:00
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.55%E -2.38%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 03:00
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.27%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.27%E -2.95%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 02:55
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.25%E -4.40%K -14.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 06:05
ReBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.25%E -3.06%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -6.91%E -4.90%K -16.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 03:20
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.29%E -1.55%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 06:05
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.65%E -4.48%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.61%E -2.47%K -7.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 04:58
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-27 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-27 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-27 06:20
ProphetX2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%1.1%2026-07-27 07:00
Novig2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-07-27 07:20