Language:English
Kei Nishikori v Juncheng Shang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kei Nishikori (Local)
Prediction 42.89%2.33fair odd
EV -0.064%
Edge -0.027%
Kelly -0.048%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%42.85%42.91%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.202.202.3347.62%45.43%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juncheng Shang (Visit)
Prediction 57.11%1.75fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -4.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%57.15%57.09%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.561.641.651.7064.10%60.82%60.61%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kei Nishikori (Local): 42.89%; Juncheng Shang (Visit): 57.11%. For Kei Nishikori (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.331. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.330, with an expected value of -0.064%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -0.064%E -0.027%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 20:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.64%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.64%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.92%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.78%E -2.15%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.21%E -2.36%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.49%E -2.06%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:02 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 21:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.48%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.48%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 21:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 20:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.06%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 21:07 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -8.64%E -4.06%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.91%E -6.99%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 59.13% | -0.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.