Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kei Nishikori v Juncheng Shang

Início: 2026-07-27 21:07 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Kei Nishikori (Local)

Previsão 42.89%2.33odd justa
EV -0.064%
Vantagem -0.027%
Kelly -0.048%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.10%42.85%42.91%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.202.202.3347.62%45.43%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Juncheng Shang (Visitante)

Previsão 57.11%1.75odd justa
EV -2.91%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -4.16%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.56%57.15%57.09%58.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.641.651.7064.10%60.82%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Kei Nishikori (Local): 42.89%; Juncheng Shang (Visitante): 57.11%. Para Kei Nishikori (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.331. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.330, com valor esperado de -0.064%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -0.064%E -0.027%K -0.048%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 20:59
FanDuel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 21:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.64%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 20:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.64%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 20:50
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-27 21:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 21:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 21:05
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 21:05
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-27 20:50
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 20:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 20:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 20:55
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 20:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 21:06
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 21:05
ReBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.92%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 20:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:05
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:04
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:05
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:06
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:06
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:05
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 21:05
Bet Right🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.78%E -2.15%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.21%E -2.36%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 21:05
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.49%E -2.06%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 21:05
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:06
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 20:45
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:05
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 21:02
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 21:02
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 21:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 20:50
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 21:05
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 21:03
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.48%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 20:50
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.48%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 21:05
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 21:01
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 20:53
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 21:06
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 21:05
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.06%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 21:05
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 21:07
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 21:05
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 21:05
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 21:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 21:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -8.64%E -4.06%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-27 21:04
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 20:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 20:55
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 21:05
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 21:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 21:06
Fliff🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 21:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.91%E -6.99%K -19.48%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-27 21:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX2.46I 40.65%NM 40.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 59.13%-0.5%2026-07-27 21:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-07-27 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-07-27 21:05
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%0.5%2026-07-27 21:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-07-27 21:06
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%1.2%2026-07-27 20:55
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%2.3%2026-07-27 21:06