Langue:Français
Kei Nishikori v Juncheng Shang
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Kei Nishikori (Local)
Prévision 42.89%2.33cote équitable
EV -0.064%
Avantage -0.027%
Kelly -0.048%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.10%42.85%42.91%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.202.202.3347.62%45.43%45.45%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Juncheng Shang (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.11%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -4.16%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.56%57.15%57.09%58.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.641.651.7064.10%60.82%60.61%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kei Nishikori (Local) : 42.89% ; Juncheng Shang (Visiteur) : 57.11%. Pour Kei Nishikori (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.331. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.330, pour une espérance de -0.064% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -0.064%E -0.027%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 20:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.64%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.64%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.92%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.78%E -2.15%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.21%E -2.36%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.49%E -2.06%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:02 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 21:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.48%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.48%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 21:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 20:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.06%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 21:07 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -8.64%E -4.06%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.91%E -6.99%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 59.13% | -0.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |