L’École des cotes

Kei Nishikori v Juncheng Shang

2026-07-27 21:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kei Nishikori (Local)

Prévision 34.06%2.94cote équitable
EV -0.545%
Avantage -0.187%
Kelly -0.284%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.87%34.31%34.01%36.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.742.752.9240.82%36.51%36.36%34.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Juncheng Shang (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.94%1.52cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.727%
Kelly -2.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.31%65.69%65.99%67.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.16%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.545%E -0.187%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.71%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 06:10
LowVig.ag2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -0.545%E -0.187%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -5.71%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 06:10
Pinnacle2.88I 34.72%NM 33.64%EV -1.91%E -0.662%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 66.36%EV -3.73%E -2.55%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 01:40
DraftKings2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -2.25%E -0.783%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -5.71%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 02:50
FanDuel2.82I 35.46%NM 33.65%EV -3.95%E -1.40%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.35%EV -5.71%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.63%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 01:50
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.63%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 02:50
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -4.63%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.71%E -3.99%K -13.27%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 03:21
SportsBet2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -4.97%E -1.78%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.59%EV -7.68%E -5.49%K -19.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 02:35
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.07%E -2.09%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 06:30
Bovada2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.07%E -2.09%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 06:25
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.07%E -2.09%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-27 06:30
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.39%E -3.03%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.39%E -3.03%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 06:05
Bet Right2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.39%E -3.03%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 08:05
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 01:55
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:29
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.05%E -3.50%K -11.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:06
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.34%E -2.30%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:00
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.04%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.39%E -3.03%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 02:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.04%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.39%E -3.03%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 02:55
Betr (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.04%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.39%E -3.03%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 08:04
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.04%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 06:05
ReBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.31%EV -8.04%E -2.98%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.69%EV -7.02%E -4.98%K -17.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 03:20
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.09%E -0.727%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 08:05
Mr Green (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.09%E -0.727%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 08:05
888sport (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -1.09%E -0.727%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 08:05
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.41%E -1.63%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 06:05
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.44%E -4.40%K -7.15%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.73%E -2.55%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 04:58
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.69%EV -16.55%E -6.76%K -11.42%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.31%EV -6.36%E -4.48%K -15.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-27 07:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-27 06:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-27 06:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-07-27 06:20
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 35.02%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.98%1.3%2026-07-27 08:05
ProphetX2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-07-27 08:05