Idioma:Español
Kei Nishikori v Juncheng Shang
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Kei Nishikori (Local)
Predicción 42.89%2.33momio equitativo
EV -0.064%
Ventaja -0.027%
Kelly -0.048%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.10%42.85%42.91%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.202.202.3347.62%45.43%45.45%42.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Juncheng Shang (Visitante)
Predicción 57.11%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.91%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -4.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.56%57.15%57.09%58.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.561.641.651.7064.10%60.82%60.61%58.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Kei Nishikori (Local): 42.89%; Juncheng Shang (Visitante): 57.11%. Para Kei Nishikori (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.331. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.330, con un valor esperado de -0.064%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -0.064%E -0.027%K -0.048%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 20:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -2.21%E -0.969%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.64%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.64%E -1.16%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.91%E -1.71%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -3.50%E -1.55%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -10.34%E -6.59%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -3.92%E -1.75%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.35%E -1.95%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -4.78%E -2.15%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:03 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.21%E -2.36%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.49%E -2.06%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 21:02 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 21:02 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.20%E -3.13%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.34%E -3.87%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.48%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 20:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.48%E -4.62%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 21:01 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.64%E -2.56%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 20:53 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -6.50%E -2.98%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.91%E -4.24%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.49%E -2.06%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 21:07 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.77%E -3.50%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 21:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.78%E -3.62%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.90%EV -8.64%E -4.06%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.10%EV -8.63%E -5.39%K -14.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-27 21:04 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.06%E -2.41%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.63%E -2.77%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.05%E -5.00%K -13.20%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.93%E -4.73%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.38%EV -10.91%E -6.99%K -19.48%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 59.13% | -0.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |
| Novig◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 1.2% | 2026-07-27 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 21:06 |