The School of Odds

Frances Tiafoe v Terence Atmane

2026-07-28 00:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Prediction 69.28%1.44fair odd
EV -3.01%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -7.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%69.38%69.27%71.27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.56%73.53%71.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Terence Atmane (Visit)

Prediction 30.72%3.26fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +0.418%
Kelly +0.599%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.73%30.62%30.73%32.24%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.103.3034.48%31.86%32.26%30.30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:06
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.86%E -5.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%5.5%2026-07-27 06:05
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.158%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 05:55
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.55%E -6.48%K -26.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.69%E -0.529%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 06:05
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.70%E -2.66%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -4.46%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 02:01
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.70%E -2.66%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -4.46%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.01%E -2.15%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:50
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 01:55
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 02:50
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 03:20
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:00
Bet Right1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 05:55
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:20
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:50
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:50
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:55
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:50
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 02:35
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 06:00
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 02:15
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 01:55
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 07:00
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 06:05
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 07:10
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 03:00
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 05:55
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 06:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-07-27 06:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 70.98%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.02%1.4%2026-07-27 07:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-07-27 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-07-27 07:20
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-07-27 06:50