Language:English
Frances Tiafoe v Terence Atmane
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Prediction 73.79%1.36fair odd
EV -1.86%
Edge -1.40%
Kelly -5.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.96%73.65%73.70%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.291.291.3381.30%77.29%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Terence Atmane (Visit)
Prediction 26.21%3.81fair odd
EV +4.85%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.078%
assuming max odds 4.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%26.35%26.30%29.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.543.504.0030.77%28.25%28.57%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frances Tiafoe (Local): 73.79%; Terence Atmane (Visit): 26.21%. For Terence Atmane (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.85%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.85%E +1.21%K +1.62%G +0.078% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 23:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.52%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.48%EV +4.33%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.393%E -0.103%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -0.655%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 23:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.70%E -0.454%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -2.49%E -0.669%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -2.49%E -0.669%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -3.80%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 23:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 23:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 23:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.34%E -2.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 23:52 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 23:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.86%E -1.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.86%E -1.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-27 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-27 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.76% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 23.24% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 23:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-07-27 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
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