La escuela de los momios

Frances Tiafoe v Terence Atmane

2026-07-28 00:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Predicción 69.28%1.44momio equitativo
EV -3.01%
Ventaja -2.15%
Kelly -7.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.76%69.38%69.27%71.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.57%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Terence Atmane (Visitante)

Predicción 30.72%3.26momio equitativo
EV +1.38%
Ventaja +0.418%
Kelly +0.599%
Crecimiento +0.008%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.73%30.62%30.73%32.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.143.103.3034.48%31.84%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Bally Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Grosvenor1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet (NL)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Unibet (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
Svenska Spel1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:05
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%4.9%2026-07-27 06:06
Hard Rock Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.86%E -5.91%K -23.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +1.38%E +0.418%K +0.599%G +0.008%5.5%2026-07-27 06:05
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.19%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -0.158%E -0.049%K -0.070%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 05:55
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -8.55%E -6.48%K -26.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -1.69%E -0.529%K -0.770%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 06:05
Bet Right1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -3.23%E -1.03%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 07:50
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.70%E -2.66%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -4.46%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 02:01
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -3.70%E -2.66%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -4.46%E -1.43%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 02:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.01%E -2.15%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-27 01:50
Bovada1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 01:55
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 02:50
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 03:20
FanDuel1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 02:00
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:20
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:50
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:50
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:55
888sport (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.77%E -1.54%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 05:50
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -7.17%E -5.35%K -21.08%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -5.07%E -1.64%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 02:35
Fanatics1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.09%E -3.71%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 06:05
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -6.30%E -2.07%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-27 06:00
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 02:15
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 01:55
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 07:00
theScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 06:05
TAB1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 07:10
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.84%E -2.61%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 03:00
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 05:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.39%E -3.18%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 05:55
ReBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -5.78%E -4.25%K -16.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -10.91%E -3.76%K -5.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 06:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%0.3%2026-07-27 06:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-07-27 07:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-07-27 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.38I 72.46%NM 71.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.87%1.9%2026-07-27 07:20
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.55%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.45%2.0%2026-07-27 06:50