Idioma:Español
Frances Tiafoe v Terence Atmane
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Frances Tiafoe (Local)
Predicción 73.79%1.36momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -1.40%
Kelly -5.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.96%73.65%73.70%76.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.231.291.291.3381.30%77.29%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Terence Atmane (Visitante)
Predicción 26.21%3.81momio equitativo
EV +4.85%
Ventaja +1.21%
Kelly +1.62%
Crecimiento +0.078%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%26.35%26.30%29.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.543.504.0030.77%28.25%28.57%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Frances Tiafoe (Local): 73.79%; Terence Atmane (Visitante): 26.21%. Para Terence Atmane (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.81. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.85%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.85%E +1.21%K +1.62%G +0.078% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 23:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.52%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.48%EV +4.33%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.393%E -0.103%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -0.655%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 23:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.70%E -0.454%K -0.620%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 23:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -2.49%E -0.669%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -2.49%E -0.669%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 23:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -3.80%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 23:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 23:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-27 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 23:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 21:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 20:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 23:31 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:31 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:31 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:31 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:31 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.34%E -2.55%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 23:52 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 23:51 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 20:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.86%E -1.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 20:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.86%E -1.40%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-27 23:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.7% | 2026-07-27 23:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 23:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.76% | 4.26I 23.47%NM 23.24% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 23:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-07-27 23:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-07-27 23:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76% | 2.2% | 2026-07-27 23:40 |