Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Frances Tiafoe v Terence Atmane

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Prévision 73.79%1.36cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -1.40%
Kelly -5.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.96%73.65%73.70%76.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.231.291.291.3381.30%77.29%77.52%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Terence Atmane (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.21%3.81cote équitable
EV +4.85%
Avantage +1.21%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.078%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%26.35%26.30%29.04%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.543.504.0030.77%28.25%28.57%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Frances Tiafoe (Local) : 73.79% ; Terence Atmane (Visiteur) : 26.21%. Pour Terence Atmane (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.81. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +4.85%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.85%E +1.21%K +1.62%G +0.078%5.0%2026-07-27 23:45
Pinnacle🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 75.52%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.48%EV +4.33%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063%2.6%2026-07-27 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.393%E -0.103%K -0.140%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-27 23:40
1xBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -0.655%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 23:49
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.70%E -0.454%K -0.620%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-27 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -2.49%E -0.669%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -2.49%E -0.669%K -0.915%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-27 23:40
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-27 23:40
Bet Right🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 23:10
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 23:50
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-27 23:30
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -3.80%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 23:45
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-27 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 23:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-27 23:45
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:15
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:40
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:15
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-27 23:15
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 23:40
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 23:40
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 23:30
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 23:40
betfred_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 20:25
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 23:50
Fliff🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 23:50
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 23:31
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 23:30
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:31
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:31
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:31
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:30
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:30
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:30
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.34%E -2.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 20:30
Bet Victor🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 23:52
betano_uk🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 23:51
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 20:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 20:30
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 23:50
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-27 20:30
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.86%E -1.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 20:00
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.86%E -1.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 23:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-27 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-07-27 23:55
Matchbook1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-07-27 23:55
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 76.76%4.26I 23.47%NM 23.24%1.0%2026-07-27 23:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-07-27 23:55
ProphetX1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-07-27 23:50
Smarkets1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-07-27 23:40