Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Frances Tiafoe v Terence Atmane

Início: 2026-07-28 00:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

74%

26%

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Frances Tiafoe (Local)

Previsão 73.79%1.36odd justa

EV -1.86%

Vantagem -1.40%

Kelly -5.64%

Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

70.96%73.65%73.70%76.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

1.231.291.291.3381.30%77.29%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Terence Atmane (Visitante)

Previsão 26.21%3.81odd justa

EV +4.85%

Vantagem +1.21%

Kelly +1.62%

Crescimento +0.078%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas

23.81%26.35%26.30%29.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribuição das odds

3.253.543.504.0030.77%28.25%28.57%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Frances Tiafoe (Local): 73.79%; Terence Atmane (Visitante): 26.21%. Para Terence Atmane (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.81. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.85%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante ▼	Margem	Atualização
BetUS🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +4.85%E +1.21%K +1.62%G +0.078%	5.0%	2026-07-27 23:45
Pinnacle🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 75.52%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.98I 25.13%NM 24.48%EV +4.33%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063%	2.6%	2026-07-27 23:50
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.393%E -0.103%K -0.140%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-07-27 23:40
1xBet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -0.655%E -0.173%K -0.235%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-27 23:49
Bovada🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.70%E -0.454%K -0.620%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-07-27 23:25
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%	3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -2.49%E -0.669%K -0.915%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-27 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 74.10%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%	3.72I 26.88%NM 25.90%EV -2.49%E -0.669%K -0.915%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-07-27 23:40
BetAnything🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-27 23:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-07-27 23:40
Bet Right🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 23:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 23:10
FanDuel🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-27 23:30
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-27 23:50
SportsBet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -3.01%E -0.815%K -1.12%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-27 23:30
DraftKings🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.99%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.67I 27.25%NM 26.01%EV -3.80%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-27 23:45
ReBet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-27 23:40
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-27 23:40
Betr (AU)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.29%E -4.95%K -23.30%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-27 23:55
NetBet (FR)🎯	1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -9.24%E -7.51%K -40.18%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -4.32%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-27 23:45
888sport🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 23:15
Fanatics🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 23:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 23:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 23:40
BetMGM🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 23:15
William Hill🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-27 23:15
Betsson🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-27 23:40
NordicBet🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-27 23:40
theScore Bet🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.72%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-27 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-27 23:30
Betway🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-27 23:40
betfred_uk🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-27 20:25
Coral🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-27 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-27 23:50
Fliff🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.55%E -4.34%K -19.83%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-27 23:50
Paddy Power🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-27 23:31
Sky Bet🎯	1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.77%E -6.21%K -31.06%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.30%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-07-27 23:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:31
betPARX🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:31
Casumo🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:31
Grosvenor🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:30
TABtouch🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:30
Unibet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:30
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:30
Svenska Spel🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:30
BetRivers🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 20:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.34%E -2.55%K -10.77%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-27 20:30
Bet Victor🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-27 23:52
betano_uk🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.81%E -3.73%K -16.60%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.88%E -3.20%K -4.53%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-27 23:51
Virgin Bet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-27 20:30
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.60%E -1.97%K -8.13%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-27 20:30
Neds🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-27 23:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.19%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-27 23:50
TAB🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-27 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.08%E -3.14%K -13.59%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -13.50%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-27 20:30
BoyleSports🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.86%E -1.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-27 20:00
PlayUp🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -1.86%E -1.40%K -5.64%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -14.81%E -4.56%K -6.58%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-27 23:50

Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostas	Local	Visitante	Margem ▲	Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%	4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%	0.7%	2026-07-27 23:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%	4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%	0.7%	2026-07-27 23:55
Matchbook◎	1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%	0.8%	2026-07-27 23:55
Novig◎	1.29I 77.52%NM 76.76%	4.26I 23.47%NM 23.24%	1.0%	2026-07-27 23:56
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%	1.3%	2026-07-27 23:55
ProphetX◎	1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%	4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%	1.3%	2026-07-27 23:50
Smarkets◎	1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%	2.2%	2026-07-27 23:40