The School of OddsLanguage:English
Alex Michelsen v Jack Draper
Head to Head
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Prediction 44.22%2.26fair odd
EV +1.70%
Edge +0.737%
Kelly +1.30%
Growth +0.022%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.77%44.22%44.16%45.17%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.032.162.182.3049.26%46.40%45.87%43.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Jack Draper (Visit)
Prediction 55.78%1.79fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -4.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%55.78%55.84%58.23%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.641.691.681.7360.98%59.17%59.52%57.80%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.70%E +0.737%K +1.30%G +0.022% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 01:55 |
| BetAnything | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.515%E -0.229%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-27 02:55 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.515%E -0.229%K -0.412%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 03:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.84%E -0.830%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 03:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.84%E -0.830%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-27 03:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-27 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-27 02:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 02:00 |
| Bally Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:00 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:01 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:05 |
| Unibet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 03:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 02:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-27 02:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 04:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 02:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 03:05 |
| 888sport | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 02:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 03:25 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 03:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 03:00 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 01:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 06:20 |
| TAB | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 05:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 02:00 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 04:46 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 04:46 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-27 04:46 |
| ReBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 44.69%EV -10.24%E -5.05%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.31%EV -8.51%E -5.19%K -13.30%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-27 03:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61% | 1.5% | 2026-07-27 05:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 07:15 |