Alex Michelsen v Jack Draper

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Resultado del partido

39 corredores (12 en el análisis )

44%

56%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Local)

Predicción 44.22%2.26momio equitativo

EV +1.70%

Ventaja +0.737%

Kelly +1.30%

Crecimiento +0.022%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

41.77%44.22%44.16%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.032.162.182.3049.26%46.40%45.87%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jack Draper (Visitante)

Predicción 55.78%1.79momio equitativo

EV -3.49%

Ventaja -2.02%

Kelly -4.78%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

54.83%55.78%55.84%58.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.641.691.681.7360.98%59.17%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (39 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Bovada	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.70%E +0.737%K +1.30%G +0.022%	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-07-27 01:55
BetAnything	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.515%E -0.229%K -0.412%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-07-27 02:55
BetUS	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.515%E -0.229%K -0.412%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-07-27 03:20
BetOnline.ag	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.84%E -0.830%K -1.51%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-27 03:30
LowVig.ag	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.84%E -0.830%K -1.51%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-07-27 03:30
Pinnacle	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-07-27 01:40
Hard Rock Bet	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-07-27 02:00
FanDuel	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-27 02:00
Bally Bet	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:00
ATG (SE)	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:00
betPARX	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:01
Casumo	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (NL)	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (SE)	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:35
BetRivers	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 03:10
SportsBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-07-27 02:35
Fanatics	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-27 02:50
BetMGM	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-27 04:40
DraftKings	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-27 02:50
Bet Right	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-27 06:20
PMU (FR)	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-27 03:05
888sport	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-27 03:25
PlayUp	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-27 03:05
PointsBet (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-07-27 03:00
Betway	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-27 01:55
Betr (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-27 06:20
TAB	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-27 05:20
theScore Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-27 02:00
Neds	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-27 04:46
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-27 04:46
BoyleSports	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-27 04:46
ReBet	2.03I 49.26%NM 44.69%EV -10.24%E -5.05%K -9.94%G +0.000%	1.64I 60.98%NM 55.31%EV -8.51%E -5.19%K -13.30%G +0.000%	10.2%	2026-07-27 03:20

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%	1.5%	2026-07-27 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%	1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%	1.5%	2026-07-27 07:50
Novig	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%	1.5%	2026-07-27 05:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%	1.8%	2026-07-27 07:50
ProphetX	2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%	2.5%	2026-07-27 07:50