Idioma:Português
Alex Michelsen v Jack Draper
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Alex Michelsen (Local)
Previsão 42.35%2.36odd justa
EV -1.32%
Vantagem -0.567%
Kelly -0.994%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 2.33
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.10%42.35%42.42%43.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.152.232.252.3346.51%44.83%44.44%42.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jack Draper (Visitante)
Previsão 57.65%1.73odd justa
EV -3.15%
Vantagem -1.87%
Kelly -4.63%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.48%57.65%57.58%58.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.571.641.641.6863.69%61.10%60.98%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex Michelsen (Local): 42.35%; Jack Draper (Visitante): 57.65%. Para Alex Michelsen (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.36. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.33, com valor esperado de -1.32%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.
Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -1.32%E -0.567%K -0.994%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -3.73%E -2.23%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-27 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -4.30%E -2.59%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-27 18:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 22:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -6.03%E -3.70%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 18:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.59%E -1.13%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 18:16 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.15%E -1.87%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.58%EV -3.15%E -1.87%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.44%E -1.51%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 12:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.29%E -1.90%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.73%E -2.23%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.03%E -3.70%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.03%E -3.70%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 18:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-27 18:11 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.49%E -6.05%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 18:11 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -4.71%E -2.09%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.49%E -6.05%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 18:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -5.13%E -2.29%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.15%E -1.87%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-27 22:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.56%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.03%E -3.70%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.56%E -2.49%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -6.03%E -3.70%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.98%E -2.69%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -5.98%E -2.69%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.73%E -2.23%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.73%E -2.23%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 12:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.73%E -2.23%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 12:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.73%E -2.23%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-27 12:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 17:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.46%E -3.33%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.03%E -3.70%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 17:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 20:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 20:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -6.83%E -3.10%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.76%E -4.85%K -12.94%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-27 17:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.67%E -3.52%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.15%E -1.87%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 19:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.10%E -3.73%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -8.10%E -3.73%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-27 18:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.88%E -2.96%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.61%E -4.08%K -10.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-27 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.94%E -4.16%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.19%E -4.46%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 22:04 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (7)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 42.26% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.74% | 0.7% | 2026-07-27 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 18:51 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 0.8% | 2026-07-27 18:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00% | 2.6% | 2026-07-27 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.82% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18% | 6.8% | 2026-07-27 18:49 |