A Escola das Odds

Alex Michelsen v Jack Draper

2026-07-28 14:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Frente a frente

39 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alex Michelsen (Local)

Previsão 44.22%2.26odd justa
EV +1.70%
Vantagem +0.737%
Kelly +1.30%
Crescimento +0.022%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.77%44.22%44.16%45.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.032.162.182.3049.26%46.40%45.87%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jack Draper (Visitante)

Previsão 55.78%1.79odd justa
EV -3.49%
Vantagem -2.02%
Kelly -4.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.83%55.78%55.84%58.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.641.691.681.7360.98%59.17%59.52%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (39 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV +1.70%E +0.737%K +1.30%G +0.022%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 01:55
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -0.515%E -0.229%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-27 02:55
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -0.515%E -0.229%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 03:20
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.84%E -0.830%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 03:30
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -1.84%E -0.830%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-27 03:30
Pinnacle2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-27 01:40
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.73%E -1.24%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-27 02:00
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 02:00
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:01
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:05
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:35
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -3.61%E -1.66%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:10
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 02:35
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-27 02:50
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.94%E -2.30%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 04:40
DraftKings2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 02:50
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.38%E -2.51%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 06:20
PMU (FR)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -6.26%E -2.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -7.96%E -4.82%K -12.24%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-27 03:05
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:45
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 02:50
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.49%E -2.02%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 03:25
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.05%E -2.36%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 03:05
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.61%E -2.70%K -6.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 03:00
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 01:55
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 06:20
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.17%E -3.04%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-27 05:20
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.72%E -3.39%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 02:00
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 04:46
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.28%E -3.74%K -9.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-27 04:46
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.15%E -3.40%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.84%E -4.10%K -10.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-27 04:46
ReBet2.03I 49.26%NM 44.69%EV -10.24%E -5.05%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.31%EV -8.51%E -5.19%K -13.30%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-27 03:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-07-27 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.00%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.00%1.5%2026-07-27 07:50
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 43.39%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.61%1.5%2026-07-27 05:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%1.8%2026-07-27 07:50
ProphetX2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.5%2026-07-27 07:50