Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic v Lorenzo Musetti

2026-07-29 15:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

29%

71%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic (Local)

Prediction 29.34%3.41fair odd

EV -0.256%

Edge -0.075%

Kelly -0.107%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.97%29.51%29.36%32.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.703.203.203.4037.04%31.25%31.25%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Visit)

Prediction 70.66%1.42fair odd

EV -3.90%

Edge -2.87%

Kelly -10.83%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

67.33%70.49%70.64%72.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.291.331.331.3677.52%75.42%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
FanDuel	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.256%E -0.075%K -0.107%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-28 06:55
DraftKings	3.38I 29.59%NM 28.24%EV -0.842%E -0.249%K -0.354%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.76%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.24%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-28 06:34
1xBet	3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -2.02%E -0.604%K -0.862%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-07-28 06:59
SportsBet	3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.60%E -0.784%K -1.12%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-28 06:55
888sport	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-28 06:34
William Hill	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-28 06:34
888sport (SE)	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-28 06:29
Mr Green (SE)	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.19%E -0.966%K -1.39%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.24%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-07-28 06:34
Bovada	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-28 06:54
Winamax (DE)	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-28 06:55
Fanatics	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-28 06:59
betfred_uk	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-28 06:34
PlayUp	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-28 06:04
BoyleSports	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-28 06:55
Bet Right	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.60%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-28 06:55
NordicBet	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-28 06:59
Betsson	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-28 06:59
Betr (AU)	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.31%E -3.96%K -15.62%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-28 06:59
PointsBet (AU)	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.24%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-28 06:55
theScore Bet	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.72%E -5.09%K -21.01%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-28 06:54
Paddy Power	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-28 06:55
Sky Bet	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-28 06:55
Unibet (UK)	3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -7.59%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -6.02%E -4.52%K -18.24%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-28 06:59
ReBet	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -6.00%G +0.000%	1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%	10.3%	2026-07-28 07:00
Winamax (FR)	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.42%EV -13.46%E -4.56%K -6.90%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -8.84%E -6.86%K -30.50%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-07-28 06:57
Unibet (FR)	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.79%EV -14.92%E -5.15%K -7.85%G +0.000%	1.29I 77.52%NM 69.21%EV -8.84%E -6.86%K -30.50%G +0.000%	12.0%	2026-07-28 06:59
Betclic (FR)	2.70I 37.04%NM 32.67%EV -20.79%E -7.70%K -12.23%G +0.000%	1.31I 76.34%NM 67.33%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.97%G +0.000%	13.4%	2026-07-28 06:58

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
Novig	3.39I 29.50%NM 28.03%	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.97%	5.3%	2026-07-28 07:15
Smarkets	2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%	1.28I 78.13%NM 69.38%	12.6%	2026-07-28 07:20
Matchbook	1.09I 91.74%NM 55.69%	1.37I 72.99%NM 44.31%	64.7%	2026-07-28 07:34
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.11I 90.09%NM 50.22%	1.12I 89.29%NM 49.78%	79.4%	2026-07-28 07:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.11I 90.09%NM 50.22%	1.12I 89.29%NM 49.78%	79.4%	2026-07-28 07:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.11I 90.09%NM 50.22%	1.12I 89.29%NM 49.78%	79.4%	2026-07-28 07:35