StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aleksandar Vukic v Lorenzo Musetti

Matchstart: 2026-07-29 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Aleksandar Vukic 1–2 Lorenzo Musetti

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

59 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aleksandar Vukic (Hemma)

Prognos 31.04%3.22rättvist odds
EV -2.21%
Fördel -0.703%
Kelly -1.03%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
30.00%31.12%31.15%33.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.802.983.003.1535.71%33.55%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Lorenzo Musetti (Borta)

Prognos 68.96%1.45rättvist odds
EV -2.08%
Fördel -1.47%
Kelly -4.95%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.42

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
66.35%68.88%68.85%70.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.341.391.381.4274.63%72.16%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aleksandar Vukic (Hemma): 31.04%; Lorenzo Musetti (Borta): 68.96%. För Lorenzo Musetti (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.45. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 1.42, med väntevärdet -2.08%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (59 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-29 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.15%E -2.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-29 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 16:58
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 14:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-29 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 07:40
DraftKings🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -2.84%E -0.906%K -1.33%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 03:14
ReBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 16:05
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 02:39
BetAnything🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 03:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 10:04
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 14:55
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 12:55
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 21:19
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 07:39
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 07:40
Fanatics🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 07:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-29 14:44
1xBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -6.25%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-29 16:25
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 15:15
BetUS🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 04:34
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 05:05
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 21:14
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 16:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 16:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 16:54
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-28 12:08
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.42%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.15%E -2.99%K -10.64%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 09:25
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.42%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.42%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-29 14:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.08%E -1.47%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 15:15
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:50
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:50
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:50
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:49
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-29 14:49
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 09:30
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 09:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 14:50
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 21:19
Sky Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-28 21:19
betano_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 16:39
Bet Victor🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 16:39
Dabble (AU)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -11.53%E -4.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.08%E -1.47%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 15:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.53%E -4.04%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-29 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.08%E -1.47%K -4.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 15:15
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-29 15:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 29.89%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.11%0.5%2026-07-29 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-07-29 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-07-29 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-07-29 16:10
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%0.7%2026-07-29 16:10
ProphetX3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%1.7%2026-07-29 16:40
Smarkets3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%2.2%2026-07-29 16:35