Lingua:Italiano
Aleksandar Vukic v Lorenzo Musetti
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Aleksandar Vukic (Casa)
Previsione 31.04%3.22quota equa
EV -2.21%
Vantaggio -0.703%
Kelly -1.03%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.00%31.12%31.15%33.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.802.983.003.1535.71%33.55%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta)
Previsione 68.96%1.45quota equa
EV -2.08%
Vantaggio -1.47%
Kelly -4.95%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.42
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
66.35%68.88%68.85%70.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.391.381.4274.63%72.16%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aleksandar Vukic (Casa): 31.04%; Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta): 68.96%. Per Lorenzo Musetti (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.45. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.42, con un valore atteso del -2.08%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Quote dei bookmaker (59 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.15%E -2.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 07:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 16:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 07:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -2.84%E -0.906%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 03:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 02:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 03:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 10:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 12:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 07:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 07:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 14:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -6.25%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 04:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 05:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 16:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 12:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.42%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.15%E -2.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 09:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.42%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.42%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.08%E -1.47%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 09:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -11.53%E -4.04%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.08%E -1.47%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.53%E -4.04%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.08%E -1.47%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.89% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.11% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 2.2% | 2026-07-29 16:35 |