Langue:Français
Aleksandar Vukic v Lorenzo Musetti
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Aleksandar Vukic (Local)
Prévision 31.04%3.22cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.703%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.00%31.12%31.15%33.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.802.983.003.1535.71%33.55%33.33%31.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur)
Prévision 68.96%1.45cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -4.95%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.42
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.35%68.88%68.85%70.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.341.391.381.4274.63%72.16%72.46%70.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aleksandar Vukic (Local) : 31.04% ; Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur) : 68.96%. Pour Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.45. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.42, pour une espérance de -2.08% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.62%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.38%EV -4.15%E -2.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-29 07:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 16:58 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 14:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 14:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -2.21%E -0.703%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 07:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.44%EV -2.84%E -0.906%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.56%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 03:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 16:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 02:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 03:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 10:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -3.77%E -1.22%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.91%E -5.12%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-29 12:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 07:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 07:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.53%E -4.04%K -14.94%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 07:40 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.32%E -1.74%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -7.60%E -5.67%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-29 14:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -6.25%E -2.07%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-29 04:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 05:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 14:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 21:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 16:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 16:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-29 16:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.87%E -2.29%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-28 12:08 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -8.42%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.15%E -2.99%K -10.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-29 09:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.42%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -8.42%E -2.86%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.08%E -1.47%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV -2.77%E -1.96%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-29 14:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.98%E -3.44%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-28 09:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 09:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-28 21:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.60%E -3.68%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.22%E -4.57%K -17.27%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-29 16:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -11.53%E -4.04%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.08%E -1.47%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -11.53%E -4.04%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.84%E -3.51%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-29 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.08%E -1.47%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -13.08%E -4.67%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -3.46%E -2.47%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-29 15:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.89% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.11% | 0.5% | 2026-07-29 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 16:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 2.2% | 2026-07-29 16:35 |