Language:English
Alejandro Tabilo v Tallon Griekspoor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Prediction 41.13%2.43fair odd
EV +0.349%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.242%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.09%41.12%42.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.252.4445.45%43.90%44.44%40.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tallon Griekspoor (Visit)
Prediction 58.87%1.70fair odd
EV -2.86%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -4.40%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.14%58.91%58.88%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.621.6564.52%62.00%61.73%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 41.13%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visit): 58.87%. For Alejandro Tabilo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.43. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.44, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.349%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +0.349%E +0.143%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.12%E -0.890%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 14:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 11:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 14:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 12:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 14:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -6.64%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -8.75%E -5.64%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 10:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 10:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 11:16 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 12:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 12:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.29%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.29%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 06:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 14:52 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
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