Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alejandro Tabilo v Tallon Griekspoor

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-27 15:09 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Prévision 41.13%2.43cote équitable
EV +0.349%
Avantage +0.143%
Kelly +0.242%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.09%41.12%42.86%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.282.252.4445.45%43.90%44.44%40.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visiteur)

Prévision 58.87%1.70cote équitable
EV -2.86%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -4.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.14%58.91%58.88%60.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.551.611.621.6564.52%62.00%61.73%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alejandro Tabilo (Local) : 41.13% ; Tallon Griekspoor (Visiteur) : 58.87%. Pour Alejandro Tabilo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.43. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.44, soit une espérance positive de +0.349%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +0.349%E +0.143%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-27 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.12%E -0.890%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 14:00
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 14:45
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:40
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 14:46
DraftKings🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 11:30
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 14:45
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 14:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:15
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:46
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 12:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:00
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:46
SportsBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -6.64%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -8.75%E -5.64%K -15.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 14:45
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 06:55
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 10:41
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 10:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:16
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:50
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 12:41
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 13:50
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 13:55
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 14:54
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 14:55
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 11:15
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 11:15
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 14:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 12:40
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.29%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.29%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 08:45
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 06:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-07-27 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-07-27 14:50
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-27 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-07-27 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-07-27 14:55
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-27 14:52
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-07-27 14:50