Idioma:Español
Alejandro Tabilo v Tallon Griekspoor
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Predicción 41.13%2.43momio equitativo
EV +0.349%
Ventaja +0.143%
Kelly +0.242%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.75%41.09%41.12%42.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.282.252.4445.45%43.90%44.44%40.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)
Predicción 58.87%1.70momio equitativo
EV -2.86%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -4.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%58.91%58.88%60.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.611.621.6564.52%62.00%61.73%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 41.13%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante): 58.87%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.43. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.44, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.349%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +0.349%E +0.143%K +0.242%G +0.001% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-07-27 14:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.12%E -0.890%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-27 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-27 14:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 11:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 14:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-27 14:46 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-27 12:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-27 14:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 14:46 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-27 13:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -6.64%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -8.75%E -5.64%K -15.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-27 14:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 10:41 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 10:41 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-27 06:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 11:16 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 12:41 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 12:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 13:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-27 14:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 11:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 11:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 12:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-27 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.29%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.29%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-27 08:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-27 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-27 06:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56% | 0.5% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-07-27 14:55 |
| Novig◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-07-27 14:52 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61% | 2.3% | 2026-07-27 14:50 |