Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Tabilo v Tallon Griekspoor

Início: 2026-07-27 15:09 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Previsão 41.13%2.43odd justa
EV +0.349%
Vantagem +0.143%
Kelly +0.242%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.75%41.09%41.12%42.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.282.252.4445.45%43.90%44.44%40.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)

Previsão 58.87%1.70odd justa
EV -2.86%
Vantagem -1.73%
Kelly -4.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.14%58.91%58.88%60.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.611.621.6564.52%62.00%61.73%60.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 41.13%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante): 58.87%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.43. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.44, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.349%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.75%EV +0.349%E +0.143%K +0.242%G +0.001%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.25%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-27 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.30%E -0.540%K -0.926%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-27 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -2.12%E -0.890%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-27 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 14:00
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-27 14:45
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.35%E -1.43%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -8.16%E -5.23%K -14.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-27 14:40
1xBet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.16%EV -4.18%E -1.79%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.84%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-27 14:46
DraftKings🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 11:30
ReBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-27 14:45
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -4.59%E -1.98%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.18%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 13:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.00%E -2.16%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-27 14:45
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-27 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:15
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-27 14:46
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-27 12:40
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.41%E -2.35%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-27 14:00
Betsson🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.13%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:46
SportsBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.67%EV -5.82%E -2.54%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.33%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-27 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -6.64%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -8.75%E -5.64%K -15.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 14:45
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-27 06:55
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 10:41
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 10:41
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.45%E -2.10%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-27 06:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-27 14:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 11:16
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 14:50
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 12:41
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.63%E -2.85%K -7.46%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 13:50
TAB🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 13:55
888sport🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 14:54
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.80%E -3.63%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-27 14:55
Fliff🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.39%E -4.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-27 14:10
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 11:15
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 11:15
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 14:50
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 12:40
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.47%E -3.32%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.57%E -4.82%K -13.28%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.29%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 08:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -8.29%E -3.72%K -6.74%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -4.04%E -2.48%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-27 08:45
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.86%E -1.73%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-27 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.52%E -4.33%K -7.93%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.21%E -3.24%K -8.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-27 06:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-07-27 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%0.5%2026-07-27 14:50
ProphetX2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-27 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-07-27 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-07-27 14:55
Novig2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-07-27 14:52
Smarkets2.42I 41.32%NM 40.39%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.61%2.3%2026-07-27 14:50