Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alejandro Tabilo v Ben Shelton

2026-08-01 00:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Prediction 28.86%3.46fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.376%
Kelly -0.532%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%28.81%28.73%30.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.293.303.4232.79%30.39%30.30%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ben Shelton (Visit)

Prediction 71.14%1.41fair odd
EV -3.25%
Edge -2.39%
Kelly -9.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.32%71.19%71.27%72.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3676.92%75.32%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 28.86%; Ben Shelton (Visit): 71.14%. For Alejandro Tabilo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.46. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.42, with an expected value of -1.29%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -1.29%E -0.376%K -0.532%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 05:54
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 07:00
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 06:04
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:39
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:39
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:39
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:39
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:25
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -1.86%E -0.548%K -0.777%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.81%E -5.20%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 06:14
BetAnything3.36I 29.76%NM 28.66%EV -3.02%E -0.899%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.34%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 08:24
Winamax (DE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.31%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.25%E -2.39%K -9.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-31 08:25
BetOnline.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.31%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 08:25
LowVig.ag3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.31%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 08:25
Betclic (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.31%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 08:24
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.31%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 06:55
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.31%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 08:39
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.31%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 08:40
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.31%E -0.987%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 06:14
1xBet3.34I 29.94%NM 28.78%EV -3.60%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.22%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 08:24
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -4.17%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.52%E -5.79%K -25.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 08:24
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 06:00
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 05:59
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 08:25
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 05:59
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 06:00
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 06:55
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -7.52%E -5.79%K -25.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 08:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 08:24
Winamax (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 08:25
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 06:14
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 08:40
betfred_uk3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-31 06:04
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.19%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.52%E -5.79%K -25.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-31 08:35
Dabble (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 08:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 06:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 06:14
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 08:25
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 08:25
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 08:25
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 08:25
Unibet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 08:25
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 08:24
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.52%E -5.79%K -25.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 08:25
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.52%E -5.79%K -25.07%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 08:23
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -4.68%E -3.49%K -13.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 08:39
betano_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 08:24
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.39%E -4.05%K -16.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-31 08:24
ReBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.52%E -3.39%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -6.10%E -4.62%K -19.06%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-31 08:25
Neds3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 06:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -11.97%E -3.92%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -3.97%E -2.94%K -11.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 06:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-07-31 08:40
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-07-31 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-07-31 08:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-07-31 08:10
ProphetX3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.15%2.0%2026-07-31 08:10
Novig3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%2.1%2026-07-31 07:45
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.40%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.60%2.8%2026-07-31 08:40