Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Tabilo v Ben Shelton

Início: 2026-08-01 01:16 UTC

Final: Alejandro Tabilo 2–1 Ben Shelton

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Previsão 26.40%3.79odd justa
EV +5.60%
Vantagem +1.40%
Kelly +1.87%
Crescimento +0.104%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.46%26.30%26.50%28.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.593.604.0030.77%27.83%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Previsão 73.60%1.36odd justa
EV -2.85%
Vantagem -2.16%
Kelly -8.90%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.59%73.70%73.50%76.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.281.291.3281.97%77.97%77.52%75.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 26.40%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 73.60%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.79. 6 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.60%.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +5.60%E +1.40%K +1.87%G +0.104%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 01:04
SportsBet🎯3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV +5.07%E +1.27%K +1.70%G +0.086%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -10.21%E -8.37%K -46.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 01:05
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +2.96%E +0.759%K +1.02%G +0.030%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 01:04
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.318%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 23:24
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.318%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-31 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.318%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-01 01:10
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-31 22:30
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.21%E -8.37%K -46.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 01:05
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.21%E -8.37%K -46.40%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-01 01:05
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.462%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 01:04
DraftKings🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.65%EV -2.06%E -0.555%K -0.759%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.35%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 01:10
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 20:59
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 20:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-31 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -3.64%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -2.85%E -2.16%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-01 01:10
BetAnything🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.64%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 00:45
Fliff🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.64%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 01:10
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-01 00:50
ReBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 01:05
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:35
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:35
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:35
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:34
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:35
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:35
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:35
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:35
Bally Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:34
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 23:35
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 23:35
Fanatics🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 01:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 23:35
theScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 01:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 00:10
Dabble (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 01:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 01:10
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-01 00:04
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 01:04
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 01:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 01:05
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 21:09
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 01:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 01:04
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-01 01:04
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-31 23:34
NordicBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 01:10
Betsson🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 01:09
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-01 01:05
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 20:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 21:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-01 01:05
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 09:55
betano_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 00:04
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-01 00:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-08-01 01:10
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-01 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-01 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-01 01:00
ProphetX◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-08-01 01:10
Novig◎3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76%1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24%3.0%2026-08-01 01:10
Smarkets◎3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%4.1%2026-08-01 01:00