Langue:Français
Alejandro Tabilo v Ben Shelton
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Prévision 26.40%3.79cote équitable
EV +5.60%
Avantage +1.40%
Kelly +1.87%
Croissance +0.104%
avec la cote maximale 4.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.46%26.30%26.50%28.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.593.604.0030.77%27.83%27.78%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Ben Shelton (Visiteur)
Prévision 73.60%1.36cote équitable
EV -2.85%
Avantage -2.16%
Kelly -8.90%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.32
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.59%73.70%73.50%76.54%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.221.281.291.3281.97%77.97%77.52%75.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Alejandro Tabilo (Local) : 26.40% ; Ben Shelton (Visiteur) : 73.60%. Pour Alejandro Tabilo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.79. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.00, soit une espérance positive de +5.60%.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +5.60%E +1.40%K +1.87%G +0.104% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV +5.07%E +1.27%K +1.70%G +0.086% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -10.21%E -8.37%K -46.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +2.96%E +0.759%K +1.02%G +0.030% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.318%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.318%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.318%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 22:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.21%E -8.37%K -46.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.21%E -8.37%K -46.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.65%EV -2.06%E -0.555%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.35%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 20:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -3.64%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -2.85%E -2.16%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.64%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 00:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.64%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 21:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-31 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 01:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 09:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 00:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 0.1% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-01 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 01:00 |