Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Tabilo v Ben Shelton

2026-08-01 00:00 UTC — ATP Washington Open

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Predicción 27.67%3.61momio equitativo
EV +0.979%
Ventaja +0.268%
Kelly +0.369%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.41%27.75%27.66%30.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.373.403.6532.26%29.67%29.41%27.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ben Shelton (Visitante)

Predicción 72.33%1.38momio equitativo
EV -0.902%
Ventaja -0.658%
Kelly -2.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.37

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.35%72.25%72.34%73.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.281.311.321.3778.13%76.06%75.76%72.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 27.67%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 72.33%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.61. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.65, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.979%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.41%EV +0.979%E +0.268%K +0.369%G +0.004%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.59%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-31 09:00
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.79%E -0.504%K -0.701%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-31 09:25
BetOnline.ag3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -2.34%E -0.663%K -0.925%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 09:24
LowVig.ag3.53I 28.33%NM 27.22%EV -2.34%E -0.663%K -0.925%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.78%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-31 09:24
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.17%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-31 09:25
Winamax (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.17%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 09:05
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.17%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 09:24
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.17%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-31 09:30
Bet Right3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.55%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 09:30
Fanatics3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.55%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 09:25
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.55%E -1.32%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 09:23
DraftKings3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.38%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-31 05:54
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-31 09:19
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 07:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-31 09:20
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:39
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 09:25
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:39
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:39
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:39
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:39
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-31 08:40
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 09:15
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-31 06:14
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 09:10
Unibet (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 09:25
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 09:24
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 09:24
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-31 09:25
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 09:24
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -7.41%E -5.79%K -26.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-31 09:25
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 08:39
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.52%E -3.42%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-31 08:40
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.32%E -2.19%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 09:05
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 06:00
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 05:59
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 05:59
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 06:00
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-31 09:30
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.24%E -4.00%K -16.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 09:20
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-31 08:40
ReBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-31 09:25
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 09:24
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.69%E -5.18%K -23.06%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-31 09:25
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 09:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.79%E -2.85%K -11.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-31 09:10
betano_uk3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 09:20
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -5.97%E -4.59%K -19.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-31 09:18
Dabble (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -0.902%E -0.658%K -2.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-31 09:29
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -1.62%E -1.19%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-31 09:25
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -14.24%E -4.59%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.07%E -2.29%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-31 09:26
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.43%0.3%2026-07-31 09:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-07-31 09:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-07-31 09:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%0.6%2026-07-31 09:10
ProphetX3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-07-31 09:05
Smarkets3.85I 25.97%NM 25.39%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.61%2.3%2026-07-31 09:25
Novig3.70I 27.03%NM 26.15%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.85%3.4%2026-07-31 09:30