Idioma:Español
Alejandro Tabilo v Ben Shelton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Predicción 26.40%3.79momio equitativo
EV +5.60%
Ventaja +1.40%
Kelly +1.87%
Crecimiento +0.104%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.46%26.30%26.50%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.593.604.0030.77%27.83%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Ben Shelton (Visitante)
Predicción 73.60%1.36momio equitativo
EV -2.85%
Ventaja -2.16%
Kelly -8.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.70%73.50%76.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.281.291.3281.97%77.97%77.52%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 26.40%; Ben Shelton (Visitante): 73.60%. Para Alejandro Tabilo (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.79. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.60%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +5.60%E +1.40%K +1.87%G +0.104% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.46%EV +5.07%E +1.27%K +1.70%G +0.086% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.54%EV -10.21%E -8.37%K -46.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +2.96%E +0.759%K +1.02%G +0.030% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.318%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 23:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV +0.318%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-31 23:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV +0.318%E +0.084%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-31 22:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.21%E -8.37%K -46.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -1.00%E -0.267%K -0.364%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -10.21%E -8.37%K -46.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -1.27%E -0.338%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.65%EV -2.06%E -0.555%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.35%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-31 20:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.32%E -0.627%K -0.860%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -8.00%E -6.40%K -32.00%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-31 20:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.56%EV -3.64%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.44%EV -2.85%E -2.16%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -3.64%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-01 00:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -3.64%E -0.998%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.34%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.58%E -2.74%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 00:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.96%E -1.38%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-31 23:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.28%E -1.77%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.26%E -5.76%K -27.94%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-01 00:10 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-01 00:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-31 21:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-01 01:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-31 23:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.60%E -2.17%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.53%E -5.14%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-01 01:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -4.32%E -3.32%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 20:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 21:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -8.92%E -2.59%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.79%E -4.52%K -20.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.24%E -3.01%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-31 09:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 00:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.20%E -4.37%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.06%E -3.92%K -17.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 00:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 0.1% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-01 01:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-01 01:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Novig◎ | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.76% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.24% | 3.0% | 2026-08-01 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 01:00 |