Language:English
Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi
Head to Head
Tommy Paul (Local)
Prediction 75.17%1.33fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -10.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.62%75.22%75.27%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.251.251.2982.64%80.00%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Luciano Darderi (Visit)
Prediction 24.83%4.03fair odd
EV +5.52%
Edge +1.30%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%24.78%24.73%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.813.884.2528.99%26.26%25.74%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tommy Paul (Local): 75.17%; Luciano Darderi (Visit): 24.83%. For Luciano Darderi (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.25, producing a positive expected value of +5.52%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +5.52%E +1.30%K +1.70%G +0.094% | 5.5% | 2026-10-27 19:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.79%E +0.438%K +0.579%G +0.010% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 16:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-10-27 20:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-27 22:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.68%E -0.425%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-27 19:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-27 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-27 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-27 15:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-27 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-27 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-10-27 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-27 16:11 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-27 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-27 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-27 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-27 17:56 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-27 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 22:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-27 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-27 16:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-27 16:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-27 16:20 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-27 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-27 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -9.04%E -7.47%K -43.06%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-27 15:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-27 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-27 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-27 15:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-27 15:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-27 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-27 16:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-27 19:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-27 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.86%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-27 16:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.86%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-27 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -14.34%E -4.16%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-27 16:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -9.04%E -7.47%K -43.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -14.34%E -4.16%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-27 16:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00% | 9.9% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00% | 9.9% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00% | 9.9% | 2026-10-27 19:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97% | 11.6% | 2026-10-27 19:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 71.59% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41% | 13.6% | 2026-10-27 19:35 |