StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi

2026-10-29 12:00 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Direkter Vergleich

56 Wettanbieter (18 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Tommy Paul (Heim)

Prognose 75.17%1.33faire Quote
EV -3.03%
Vorteil -2.35%
Kelly -10.44%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.29

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
73.62%75.22%75.27%77.70%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.211.251.251.2982.64%80.00%80.00%77.52%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Luciano Darderi (Auswärts)

Prognose 24.83%4.03faire Quote
EV +5.52%
Vorteil +1.30%
Kelly +1.70%
Wachstum +0.094%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.25

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
22.30%24.78%24.73%26.38%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.453.813.884.2528.99%26.26%25.74%23.53%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Tommy Paul (Heim): 75.17%; Luciano Darderi (Auswärts): 24.83%. Für Luciano Darderi (Auswärts) entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 4.03. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.25 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +5.52%.

Wettanbieterquoten (56 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +5.52%E +1.30%K +1.70%G +0.094%5.5%2026-10-27 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.79%E +0.438%K +0.579%G +0.010%5.0%2026-10-27 16:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 16:45
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.68%E -0.425%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-27 19:25
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 15:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-27 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-27 16:00
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 16:11
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 16:50
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 16:15
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 17:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 16:45
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-27 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 16:05
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 16:20
picklebet_au🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -9.04%E -7.47%K -43.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 19:20
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 15:55
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 16:11
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.86%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 16:48
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.86%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -14.34%E -4.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-27 16:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -9.04%E -7.47%K -43.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -14.34%E -4.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (5)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%9.9%2026-10-27 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%9.9%2026-10-27 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%9.9%2026-10-27 19:20
Smarkets◎1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%11.6%2026-10-27 19:10
Matchbook◎1.23I 81.30%NM 71.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%13.6%2026-10-27 19:35