Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi

2026-10-29 12:00 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tommy Paul (Local)

Previsão 75.17%1.33odd justa
EV -3.03%
Vantagem -2.35%
Kelly -10.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.62%75.22%75.27%77.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.211.251.251.2982.64%80.00%80.00%77.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Luciano Darderi (Visitante)

Previsão 24.83%4.03odd justa
EV +5.52%
Vantagem +1.30%
Kelly +1.70%
Crescimento +0.094%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.30%24.78%24.73%26.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.453.813.884.2528.99%26.26%25.74%23.53%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Frente a frente, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tommy Paul (Local): 75.17%; Luciano Darderi (Visitante): 24.83%. Para Luciano Darderi (Visitante), essa estimativa equivale a odds decimais justas de 4.03. 2 casas de apostas oferecem odds acima desse nível; as melhores odds disponíveis são 4.25, produzindo um valor esperado positivo de +5.52%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +5.52%E +1.30%K +1.70%G +0.094%5.5%2026-10-27 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.79%E +0.438%K +0.579%G +0.010%5.0%2026-10-27 16:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 16:45
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.68%E -0.425%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-27 19:25
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 15:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-27 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-27 16:00
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 16:11
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 16:50
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 16:15
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 17:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 16:45
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-27 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 16:05
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 16:20
picklebet_au🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -9.04%E -7.47%K -43.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 19:20
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 15:55
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 16:11
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.86%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 16:48
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.86%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -14.34%E -4.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-27 16:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -9.04%E -7.47%K -43.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -14.34%E -4.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%9.9%2026-10-27 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%9.9%2026-10-27 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%9.9%2026-10-27 19:20
Smarkets◎1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%11.6%2026-10-27 19:10
Matchbook◎1.23I 81.30%NM 71.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%13.6%2026-10-27 19:35