StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Tommy Paul v Luciano Darderi

2026-10-29 12:00 UTC — ATP Vienna Open

Wedstrijduitslag

56 wedaanbieders (18 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Tommy Paul (Thuis)

Prognose 75.17%1.33margevrije odds
EV -3.03%
Voordeel -2.35%
Kelly -10.44%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 1.29

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
73.62%75.22%75.27%77.70%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.211.251.251.2982.64%80.00%80.00%77.52%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Luciano Darderi (Uit)

Prognose 24.83%4.03margevrije odds
EV +5.52%
Voordeel +1.30%
Kelly +1.70%
Groei +0.094%

bij maximale odds 4.25

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
22.30%24.78%24.73%26.38%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.453.813.884.2528.99%26.26%25.74%23.53%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Tommy Paul (Thuis): 75.17%; Luciano Darderi (Uit): 24.83%. Voor Luciano Darderi (Uit) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.03. 2 wedaanbieders bieden odds boven dat niveau; de beste beschikbare odds zijn 4.25, met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +5.52%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (56 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼MargeBijgewerkt
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +5.52%E +1.30%K +1.70%G +0.094%5.5%2026-10-27 19:19
FanDuel🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +1.79%E +0.438%K +0.579%G +0.010%5.0%2026-10-27 16:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-27 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 22:05
SportsBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 16:45
1xBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -1.68%E -0.425%K -0.568%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-27 19:25
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-27 19:10
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-27 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 15:55
Coral🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-27 15:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-27 16:00
DraftKings🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -4.53%E -3.57%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -3.92%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-27 17:55
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 16:11
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 16:50
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-27 16:15
Fliff🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-27 17:56
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 16:45
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 22:05
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 16:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-27 16:45
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 16:05
Sky Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-27 16:20
picklebet_au🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-27 16:45
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.79%E -5.47%K -28.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 16:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -9.04%E -7.47%K -43.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-27 19:20
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-27 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 15:55
Neds🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.28%E -4.19%K -20.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-27 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 16:11
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 19:25
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.03%E -4.83%K -24.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-27 21:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.86%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 16:48
ReBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -11.86%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-27 16:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.88%EV -8.29%E -6.80%K -37.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.12%EV -14.34%E -4.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-27 16:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%EV -9.04%E -7.47%K -43.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%EV -14.34%E -4.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-27 16:45
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (5)

WedaanbiederThuisUitMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%9.9%2026-10-27 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%9.9%2026-10-27 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 74.00%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%9.9%2026-10-27 19:20
Smarkets◎1.21I 82.64%NM 74.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.97%11.6%2026-10-27 19:10
Matchbook◎1.23I 81.30%NM 71.59%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.41%13.6%2026-10-27 19:35