StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Zachary Svajda v Arthur Gea

Matchstart: 2026-09-03 22:26 UTC

Slutresultat: Zachary Svajda 1–3 Arthur Gea

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (20 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Zachary Svajda (Hemma)

Prognos 56.93%1.76rättvist odds
EV +8.74%
Fördel +4.57%
Kelly +9.60%
Tillväxt +0.839%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.91

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
50.00%56.55%56.85%59.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.601.681.681.9162.50%59.55%59.52%52.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Gea (Borta)

Prognos 43.07%2.32rättvist odds
EV +1.22%
Fördel +0.517%
Kelly +0.901%
Tillväxt +0.011%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.35

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
40.92%43.45%43.15%50.00%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.912.192.202.3552.36%45.74%45.45%42.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Zachary Svajda (Hemma): 56.93%; Arthur Gea (Borta): 43.07%. För Zachary Svajda (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.76. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.91, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +8.74%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +8.74%E +4.57%K +9.60%G +0.839%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -17.74%E -9.29%K -19.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 11:00
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.765%E +0.432%K +0.994%G +0.008%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.86%E -6.93%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-03 04:30
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV -1.51%E -0.874%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-03 22:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.51%E -0.874%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-03 19:25
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.37%E -0.598%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-03 22:00
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.23%E -0.982%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-03 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-03 22:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 22:25
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 19:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 20:55
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 20:55
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.69%E -4.10%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 22:25
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 22:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 22:20
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 22:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 22:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-03 21:45
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
Bally Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.37%E -0.598%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 22:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.37%E -0.598%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 22:24
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 20:05
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 21:45
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 22:24
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 19:15
BetUS🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.68%E -2.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 22:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-03 19:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-03 22:20
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.22%E +0.517%K +0.901%G +0.011%3.2%2026-09-03 21:58
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.938%E -0.408%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-03 22:00
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-03 22:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 22:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:25
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 22:24
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.68%E -2.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 22:25
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.68%E -2.59%K -4.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 22:20
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 22:24
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.20%E -4.42%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.20%E -4.42%K -11.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 22:24
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 21:46
DraftKings🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -8.91%E -5.57%K -14.85%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -0.507%E -0.220%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 22:20
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81%0.5%2026-09-03 22:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-09-03 22:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-09-03 22:25
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-09-03 22:25
ProphetX◎1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-09-03 22:25
Kalshi◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-09-03 22:20
Novig◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%2.1%2026-09-03 22:25
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14%2.3%2026-09-03 22:25