Langue:Français
Zachary Svajda v Arthur Gea
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Prévision 56.93%1.76cote équitable
EV +8.74%
Avantage +4.57%
Kelly +9.60%
Croissance +0.839%
avec la cote maximale 1.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%56.55%56.85%59.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.601.681.681.9162.50%59.55%59.52%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Arthur Gea (Visiteur)
Prévision 43.07%2.32cote équitable
EV +1.22%
Avantage +0.517%
Kelly +0.901%
Croissance +0.011%
avec la cote maximale 2.35
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.92%43.45%43.15%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.192.202.3552.36%45.74%45.45%42.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Zachary Svajda (Local) : 56.93% ; Arthur Gea (Visiteur) : 43.07%. Pour Zachary Svajda (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.76. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.91, soit une espérance positive de +8.74%.
Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +8.74%E +4.57%K +9.60%G +0.839% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -17.74%E -9.29%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 11:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.765%E +0.432%K +0.994%G +0.008% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.86%E -6.93%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 04:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV -1.51%E -0.874%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.51%E -0.874%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.37%E -0.598%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.23%E -0.982%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.69%E -4.10%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.37%E -0.598%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.37%E -0.598%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.68%E -2.59%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.22%E +0.517%K +0.901%G +0.011% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 21:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.938%E -0.408%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.68%E -2.59%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.68%E -2.59%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.20%E -4.42%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.20%E -4.42%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 21:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -8.91%E -5.57%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -0.507%E -0.220%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |