Idioma:Español
Zachary Svajda v Arthur Gea
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zachary Svajda (Local)
Predicción 56.93%1.76momio equitativo
EV +8.74%
Ventaja +4.57%
Kelly +9.60%
Crecimiento +0.839%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%56.55%56.85%59.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.681.9162.50%59.55%59.52%52.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Gea (Visitante)
Predicción 43.07%2.32momio equitativo
EV +1.22%
Ventaja +0.517%
Kelly +0.901%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.92%43.45%43.15%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.192.202.3552.36%45.74%45.45%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Zachary Svajda (Local): 56.93%; Arthur Gea (Visitante): 43.07%. Para Zachary Svajda (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.76. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.91, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +8.74%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +8.74%E +4.57%K +9.60%G +0.839% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -17.74%E -9.29%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 11:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV +0.765%E +0.432%K +0.994%G +0.008% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -13.86%E -6.93%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-03 04:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.31%EV -1.51%E -0.874%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.69%EV -3.95%E -1.77%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-03 22:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.51%E -0.874%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.39%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.61%EV -1.37%E -0.598%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -2.23%E -0.982%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 19:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.11%E -2.80%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-03 20:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 20:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.69%E -4.10%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.22%E -1.89%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.79%E -2.24%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-03 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.36%E -2.59%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -6.97%E -3.23%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.37%E -0.598%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.83%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.17%EV -1.37%E -0.598%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 20:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 21:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.74%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.26%EV -5.68%E -2.59%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 19:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.93%E -2.95%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-03 19:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.50%E -3.31%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -9.55%E -4.55%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV +1.22%E +0.517%K +0.901%G +0.011% | 3.2% | 2026-09-03 21:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.938%E -0.408%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-03 22:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -4.38%E -1.97%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-03 22:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 22:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.68%E -2.59%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.68%E -2.59%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.07%E -3.68%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.40%E -3.44%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -7.20%E -4.42%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -7.20%E -4.42%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -5.24%E -2.38%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-03 22:24 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.77%E -4.80%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.09%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-03 21:46 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.08%EV -8.91%E -5.57%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.92%EV -0.507%E -0.220%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 58.19% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.81% | 0.5% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 0.9% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 22:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04% | 2.1% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.86% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.14% | 2.3% | 2026-09-03 22:25 |