預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Wu Yibing v Carlos Alcaraz

開賽時間: 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

最終賽果: Wu Yibing 0–3 Carlos Alcaraz

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

63 家博彩公司 (21 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Wu Yibing (主隊)

預測 8.74%11.44公平賠率
EV +13.67%
優勢 +1.05%
Kelly +1.14%
成長率 +0.156%

假設最高賠率為 13.00

博彩公司預測分布
7.47%8.81%8.71%10.45%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
9.0010.5910.2513.0011.11%9.44%9.76%7.69%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Carlos Alcaraz (客隊)

預測 91.26%1.10公平賠率
EV -1.44%
優勢 -1.34%
Kelly -18.04%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.08

博彩公司預測分布
89.55%91.19%91.29%92.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.021.051.051.0898.04%95.53%95.24%92.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Wu Yibing (主隊):8.74%;Carlos Alcaraz (客隊):91.26%。 對於「Wu Yibing (主隊)」,該估計相當於11.44的公平十進位賠率。 當時有10家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為13.00,對應+13.67%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (63 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Sky Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +13.67%E +1.05%K +1.14%G +0.156%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 13:35
Pinnacle🎯12.61I 7.93%NM 7.69%EV +10.26%E +0.813%K +0.883%G +0.091%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.31%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 14:31
Winamax (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 06:35
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 13:35
Bovada🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:28
FanDuel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 06:05
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 06:39
Coolbet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +0.551%E +0.048%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 05:55
Unibet (UK)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +0.551%E +0.048%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:40
1xBet🎯11.30I 8.85%NM 8.50%EV -1.20%E -0.106%K -0.116%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:25
BoyleSports🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 06:15
PlayUp🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 00:35
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:40
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:40
SportsBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 21:29
Winamax (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:25
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.01%E -5.83%K -200.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Marathon Bet🎯10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV -6.01%E -0.559%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:35
DraftKings🎯10.70I 9.35%NM 8.86%EV -6.44%E -0.602%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.14%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:10
MyBookie.ag🎯10.60I 9.43%NM 8.93%EV -7.32%E -0.690%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.07%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 12:44
ReBet🎯10.60I 9.43%NM 8.93%EV -7.32%E -0.690%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.07%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 12:40
GTbets🎯10.52I 9.51%NM 9.31%EV -8.02%E -0.762%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.69%EV -1.44%E -1.34%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.780%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:44
Fanatics🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -10.38%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 06:35
Betr (AU)🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -10.38%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 13:50
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 15:40
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:25
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:20
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Unibet (NL)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
Unibet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
TABtouch🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
BetRivers🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Unibet (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
LiveScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Bally Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
ATG (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Svenska Spel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:50
Neds🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 06:05
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 06:05
BetAnything🎯9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -13.00%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:35
Fliff🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.59%EV -14.31%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.41%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 21:35
betano_uk🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.94%E -1.78%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 09:18
BetUS🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.94%E -1.78%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 01:20
BetMGM🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -19.12%E -2.07%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 13:50
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -21.31%E -2.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 13:38
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Kalshi◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-09-03 23:35
Matchbook◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-09-04 13:50
Novig◎11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-09-04 08:06
Smarkets◎13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%1.7%2026-09-04 14:31