Langue:Français
Wu Yibing v Carlos Alcaraz
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Wu Yibing (Local)
Prévision 8.74%11.44cote équitable
EV +13.67%
Avantage +1.05%
Kelly +1.14%
Croissance +0.156%
avec la cote maximale 13.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.47%8.81%8.71%10.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0010.5910.2513.0011.11%9.44%9.76%7.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Carlos Alcaraz (Visiteur)
Prévision 91.26%1.10cote équitable
EV -1.44%
Avantage -1.34%
Kelly -18.04%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.55%91.19%91.29%92.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.021.051.051.0898.04%95.53%95.24%92.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Wu Yibing (Local) : 8.74% ; Carlos Alcaraz (Visiteur) : 91.26%. Pour Wu Yibing (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 11.44. 10 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 13.00, soit une espérance positive de +13.67%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +13.67%E +1.05%K +1.14%G +0.156% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.61I 7.93%NM 7.69%EV +10.26%E +0.813%K +0.883%G +0.091% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.31%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 06:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +0.551%E +0.048%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 05:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +0.551%E +0.048%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.30I 8.85%NM 8.50%EV -1.20%E -0.106%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 06:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.01%E -5.83%K -200.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV -6.01%E -0.559%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.86%EV -6.44%E -0.602%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.14%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 10.60I 9.43%NM 8.93%EV -7.32%E -0.690%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.07%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 12:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 10.60I 9.43%NM 8.93%EV -7.32%E -0.690%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.07%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 10.52I 9.51%NM 9.31%EV -8.02%E -0.762%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.69%EV -1.44%E -1.34%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.780%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 12:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -10.38%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -10.38%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -13.00%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 00:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.59%EV -14.31%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.41%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.94%E -1.78%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 09:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.94%E -1.78%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -19.12%E -2.07%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -21.31%E -2.37%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 13:38 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Smarkets◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |