StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Wu Yibing v Carlos Alcaraz

Matchstart: 2026-09-04 17:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Wu Yibing 0–3 Carlos Alcaraz

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Wu Yibing (Hemma)

Prognos 8.74%11.44rättvist odds
EV +13.67%
Fördel +1.05%
Kelly +1.14%
Tillväxt +0.156%

med antagandet om högsta odds 13.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.47%8.81%8.71%10.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.0010.5910.2513.0011.11%9.44%9.76%7.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Carlos Alcaraz (Borta)

Prognos 91.26%1.10rättvist odds
EV -1.44%
Fördel -1.34%
Kelly -18.04%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.08

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
89.55%91.19%91.29%92.53%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.021.051.051.0898.04%95.53%95.24%92.59%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Wu Yibing (Hemma): 8.74%; Carlos Alcaraz (Borta): 91.26%. För Wu Yibing (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 11.44. 10 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 13.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +13.67%.

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaMarginalUppdaterat
Sky Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +13.67%E +1.05%K +1.14%G +0.156%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 13:35
Pinnacle🎯12.61I 7.93%NM 7.69%EV +10.26%E +0.813%K +0.883%G +0.091%1.05I 95.24%NM 92.31%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 14:31
Winamax (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 06:35
Paddy Power🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-04 13:35
Bovada🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 14:28
FanDuel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 06:05
Tipico (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 06:39
Coolbet🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +0.551%E +0.048%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-04 05:55
Unibet (UK)🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +0.551%E +0.048%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 12:40
1xBet🎯11.30I 8.85%NM 8.50%EV -1.20%E -0.106%K -0.116%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 14:25
BoyleSports🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-03 21:30
Betclic (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 06:15
PlayUp🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:05
LowVig.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 00:35
BetOnline.ag🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 00:35
NordicBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:40
Betsson🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 12:40
SportsBet🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 21:29
Winamax (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:40
888sport🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:25
William Hill🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.01%E -5.83%K -200.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Marathon Bet🎯10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV -6.01%E -0.559%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 14:35
DraftKings🎯10.70I 9.35%NM 8.86%EV -6.44%E -0.602%K -0.664%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.14%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 13:10
MyBookie.ag🎯10.60I 9.43%NM 8.93%EV -7.32%E -0.690%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.07%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 12:44
ReBet🎯10.60I 9.43%NM 8.93%EV -7.32%E -0.690%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.07%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 12:40
GTbets🎯10.52I 9.51%NM 9.31%EV -8.02%E -0.762%K -0.842%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 90.69%EV -1.44%E -1.34%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-04 13:15
Unibet (FR)🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.780%K -0.862%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 12:44
Fanatics🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -10.38%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 06:35
Betr (AU)🎯10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -10.38%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 07:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 13:50
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-03 15:40
Betway🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:25
theScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:20
Grosvenor🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Unibet (NL)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
Unibet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
TABtouch🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
BetRivers🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Casumo🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Unibet (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
LiveScore Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 07:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
betPARX🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Bally Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
ATG (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:00
Svenska Spel🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:50
Neds🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 06:05
betfred_uk🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 06:05
LeoVegas🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 06:05
BetAnything🎯9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -13.00%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 00:35
Fliff🎯9.80I 10.20%NM 9.59%EV -14.31%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.41%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 21:35
betano_uk🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.94%E -1.78%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 09:18
BetUS🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.94%E -1.78%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 01:20
BetMGM🎯9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -19.12%E -2.07%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 13:50
Caesars🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -21.31%E -2.37%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 13:38
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (8)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Kalshi◎12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%0.6%2026-09-03 23:35
Matchbook◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-09-04 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%0.6%2026-09-04 13:50
Novig◎11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%1.1%2026-09-04 14:35
ProphetX◎13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-09-04 08:06
Smarkets◎13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72%1.7%2026-09-04 14:31