语言:简体中文
Wu Yibing v Carlos Alcaraz
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Wu Yibing (主队)
预测 8.74%11.44公平赔率
EV +13.67%
优势 +1.05%
Kelly +1.14%
增长率 +0.156%
假设最高赔率为 13.00
博彩公司预测分布
7.47%8.81%8.71%10.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
9.0010.5910.2513.0011.11%9.44%9.76%7.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
Carlos Alcaraz (客队)
预测 91.26%1.10公平赔率
EV -1.44%
优势 -1.34%
Kelly -18.04%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.08
博彩公司预测分布
89.55%91.19%91.29%92.53%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.021.051.051.0898.04%95.53%95.24%92.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Wu Yibing (主队)：8.74%；Carlos Alcaraz (客队)：91.26%。 对于“Wu Yibing (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为11.44。 当时有10家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为13.00，对应+13.67%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +13.67%E +1.05%K +1.14%G +0.156% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 12.61I 7.93%NM 7.69%EV +10.26%E +0.813%K +0.883%G +0.091% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.31%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 14:28 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 13:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +4.92%E +0.410%K +0.448%G +0.022% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-04 06:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +0.551%E +0.048%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-09-04 05:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.37%EV +0.551%E +0.048%K +0.052%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.63%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 11.30I 8.85%NM 8.50%EV -1.20%E -0.106%K -0.116%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 06:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 12:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 00:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 00:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 21:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 14:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -3.82%E -0.347%K -0.382%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -6.01%E -5.83%K -200.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 10.75I 9.30%NM 8.82%EV -6.01%E -0.559%K -0.616%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.18%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 10.70I 9.35%NM 8.86%EV -6.44%E -0.602%K -0.664%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.14%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-04 13:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 10.60I 9.43%NM 8.93%EV -7.32%E -0.690%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.07%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 12:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 10.60I 9.43%NM 8.93%EV -7.32%E -0.690%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.07%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 10.52I 9.51%NM 9.31%EV -8.02%E -0.762%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.69%EV -1.44%E -1.34%K -18.04%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-09-04 13:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV -8.19%E -0.780%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-09-04 12:44 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -10.38%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 06:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.21%EV -10.38%E -1.01%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.79%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-04 07:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.27%E -3.08%K -54.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-03 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 07:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 12:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -12.56%E -1.26%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.92%E -6.78%K -345.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-04 06:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 9.95I 10.05%NM 9.55%EV -13.00%E -1.31%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.45%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 00:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.59%EV -14.31%E -1.46%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.41%EV -5.09%E -4.90%K -127.33%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-03 21:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.94%E -1.78%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 09:18 |
| BetUS🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -16.94%E -1.78%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 01:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -19.12%E -2.07%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-03 13:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -21.31%E -2.37%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.18%E -3.98%K -83.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-03 13:38 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 0.6% | 2026-09-03 23:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| Novig◎ | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59% | 1.1% | 2026-09-04 14:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-09-04 08:06 |
| Smarkets◎ | 13.50I 7.41%NM 7.28% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.72% | 1.7% | 2026-09-04 14:31 |