语言:简体中文
Valentin Vacherot v Frances Tiafoe
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Valentin Vacherot (主队)
预测 37.93%2.64公平赔率
EV +4.32%
优势 +1.57%
Kelly +2.47%
增长率 +0.107%
假设最高赔率为 2.75
博彩公司预测分布
34.37%37.80%37.97%39.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.382.492.492.7542.02%40.13%40.24%36.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
Frances Tiafoe (客队)
预测 62.07%1.61公平赔率
EV -2.56%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -4.49%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.57
博彩公司预测分布
60.25%62.20%62.03%65.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.531.541.5769.44%65.19%64.94%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Valentin Vacherot (主队)：37.93%；Frances Tiafoe (客队)：62.07%。 对于“Valentin Vacherot (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.64。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.75，对应+4.32%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +4.32%E +1.57%K +2.47%G +0.107% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.37%E -0.527%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.76%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.13%E -0.825%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.13%E -0.825%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.51%E -0.976%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -4.40%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.40%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 10:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:46 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -5.54%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.30%E -2.55%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.82%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 10:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.82%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 10:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.82%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (8)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |