StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Valentin Vacherot v Frances Tiafoe

Spielbeginn: 2026-09-04 23:00 UTC

Endstand: Valentin Vacherot 0–3 Frances Tiafoe

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Valentin Vacherot (Heim)

Prognose 37.93%2.64faire Quote
EV +4.32%
Vorteil +1.57%
Kelly +2.47%
Wachstum +0.107%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
34.37%37.80%37.97%39.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.382.492.492.7542.02%40.13%40.24%36.36%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Frances Tiafoe (Auswärts)

Prognose 62.07%1.61faire Quote
EV -2.56%
Vorteil -1.63%
Kelly -4.49%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.57

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
60.25%62.20%62.03%65.63%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.441.531.541.5769.44%65.19%64.94%63.69%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Valentin Vacherot (Heim): 37.93%; Frances Tiafoe (Auswärts): 62.07%. Für Valentin Vacherot (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.64. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.75 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +4.32%.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +4.32%E +1.57%K +2.47%G +0.107%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 21:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.37%E -0.527%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.76%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 08:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.13%E -0.825%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.13%E -0.825%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 13:49
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.51%E -0.976%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.6%2026-09-04 14:00
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-04 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 13:09
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 11:30
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 11:25
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 13:55
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 11:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 11:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 11:30
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -4.40%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 13:00
FanDuel🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-04 11:00
SportsBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.40%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 11:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-04 10:45
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 12:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 12:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:30
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 10:59
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-04 11:00
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:50
GTbets🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 10:45
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 10:46
betano_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-04 12:59
ReBet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -5.54%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
TABtouch🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 12:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.30%E -2.55%K -4.29%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 13:55
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 11:50
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:49
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 13:49
Fliff🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-04 12:55
NordicBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.82%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:49
Betsson🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.82%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-04 10:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.82%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 12:55
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:50
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 11:00
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-04 11:00
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (8)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%0.4%2026-09-04 14:00
Novig◎2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17%0.5%2026-09-04 14:00
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%0.6%2026-09-04 14:05
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65%1.8%2026-09-04 01:10
Smarkets◎2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%2.4%2026-09-04 14:15