Langue:Français
Valentin Vacherot v Frances Tiafoe
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Valentin Vacherot (Local)
Prévision 37.93%2.64cote équitable
EV +4.32%
Avantage +1.57%
Kelly +2.47%
Croissance +0.107%
avec la cote maximale 2.75
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.37%37.80%37.97%39.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.382.492.492.7542.02%40.13%40.24%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur)
Prévision 62.07%1.61cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.63%
Kelly -4.49%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.57
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%62.20%62.03%65.63%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.441.531.541.5769.44%65.19%64.94%63.69%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Valentin Vacherot (Local) : 37.93% ; Frances Tiafoe (Visiteur) : 62.07%. Pour Valentin Vacherot (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.64. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.75, soit une espérance positive de +4.32%.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +4.32%E +1.57%K +2.47%G +0.107% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.63%E -7.38%K -24.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-03 21:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -1.37%E -0.527%K -0.856%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.76%E -5.96%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 08:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.13%E -0.825%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%EV -2.13%E -0.825%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -2.51%E -0.976%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 11:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.27%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 11:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -4.03%E -1.59%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -6.28%E -4.16%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.08%EV -4.40%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.92%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-04 13:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -4.40%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.40%E -1.75%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.18%E -2.04%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 12:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 10:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-04 13:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 10:46 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-04 12:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -5.54%E -2.23%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-04 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.42%E -2.87%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV -5.92%E -2.39%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.30%E -2.55%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-04 13:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.80%E -2.45%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 11:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-04 09:49 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -5.66%E -3.72%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-04 13:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.06%E -2.88%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.82%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 10:49 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.82%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-04 10:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.82%E -3.22%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -6.90%E -4.60%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-04 12:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.96%E -3.73%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.04%E -3.29%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-04 09:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.72%E -4.08%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.56%E -1.63%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-04 11:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (8)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26% | 0.4% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.17% | 0.5% | 2026-09-04 14:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 0.6% | 2026-09-04 14:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.35% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.65% | 1.8% | 2026-09-04 01:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01% | 2.4% | 2026-09-04 14:15 |